50NL small set on flush river

[toomuchforu]

I am new to FR so i appreciate help on all streets but my main concern here is the river. No real reads on villain yet, except that his limping range is pretty wide and he plays relly passive, as it was about the fifth round.
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $60.85
UTG+1: $37.75
MP1: $38.20
MP2: $23.50
MP3: $70.70
CO: $49.25
Button: $49.50
SB: $76.30
hero: $86

Pre-flop: (9 players) hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, 2 folds, Button calls, SB calls, hero checks.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($2.5, 5 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $0.5</font>, <font color="#cc0000">hero raises to $4</font>, 2 folds, Button calls, SB calls.

Turn: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($14.5, 3 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">hero bets $15</font>, Button calls, SB folds.

River: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($44.5, 2 players)
hero ?

[zyrrth]

My first thought was check/call, but if he's really passive I doubt he'd bet anything but the flush and you'd lose value from hands he'd call with but might check behind here, like AJ.

I think I'd bet ~20-25$ and fold to a raise.

[toomuchforu]

we each have about $30 left, i can't bet that much then fold which is kind of my issue. bet/fold seems impossible, and check fold seems weak, but looks like my best move against this villain. Is this too aweful?

[zyrrth]

I see, I mistook button for sb.

With the shorter stacks I'd c/c.

[toomuchforu]

up to how much? do you call a shove?

[illini43]

My PokerStove is being all goofy.

I would give villian a range of J6/JT/AJ/22/like 2 flush combos (KQs and 98s for kicks) and Stove it against your hand.

You actually effectively have about $56 left (villian's stack). I think you can value bet like $20 and fold if he raises (if he has been playing very passive). I'm pretty sure J6/JT/22/maybe AJ will call a $20 bet getting a little over 3:1.

[zyrrth]

With less than a psb left I'd call a shove, I wouldn't be too happy but I can't see myself folding a set here.

Thinking about it a push might actually be more profitable, because he might call with 2 pair or something and I'm gonna pay of a flush anyway.

The only thing I know for sure is that I'm not gonna fold.

[toomuchforu]

villain started with just under $50 so no. plus i think part of that range is just wrong. J6 is highly unlikely and i am pretty sure i would see a shove from 22 by now. others are possilbe but including a wider range of flush draws and like KJ, KQ as well.

[illini43]

Your assigned range would appear to have you crushed, I think I would check/call a half pot bet or less, but fold to anything more.

[zyrrth]

[ QUOTE ]
Your assigned range would appear to have you crushed, I think I would check/call a half pot bet or less, but fold to anything more.

[/ QUOTE ]

You can't fold for more, he has only like 6$ behind if he bets half pot.

OP probably should have raised more on the flop to make this decision easier.