NL50 - 99 flopped set on soooooted board turn check/minraise

[bkar824]

Villain is 33.3/26.7/2.5 after 7 hands...doesn't really mean much.


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 8 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $48.95
BB: $16.70
UTG: $19.60
UTG+1: $90.85
MP1: $17.00
MP2: $21.75
Hero (CO): $54.75
BTN: $26.05

Preflop: Hero is dealt 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (8 Players)
2 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.00</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $1.50, UTG+1 calls $1.50, MP1 folds

Flop: ($6.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5.00</font>, SB calls $5.00, UTG+1 folds

Turn: ($16.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $10.00</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $20.00</font>, Hero ?


Obvious call, fold if I don't boat?
Or shove?
It seems pretty obvious line for a flopped flush. Check call, check raise? Any comments on that?

[jessyj07]

[ QUOTE ]
Obvious call, fold if I don't boat.

[/ QUOTE ]

[Fredpower]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Obvious call, fold if I don't boat.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

[bkar824]

Haha, thanks guys. That is what I thought.

[Mike Kelley]

If you are so sure he's flushed. You should fold. You are only getting like 3.5 to 1 on the call and he's only got $22 left behind. I think you are like 9 to 1 to fill up with 1 card to come.

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
If you are so sure he's flushed. You should fold. You are only getting like 3.5 to 1 on the call and he's only got $22 left behind. I think you are like 9 to 1 to fill up with 1 card to come.

[/ QUOTE ]

lolol

might want to try the math again

[Mike Kelley]

okay second try approximately 7 to 1
still a bad call isn't it?

[Mike Kelley]

3 5's
3 j's
3 t's
1 9

10/46

4.6 to 1 or so?

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
3 5's
3 j's
3 t's
1 9

10/46

4.6 to 1 or so?

[/ QUOTE ]

well if you put him on a flush you either have 22.7% equity

10/44(2diamonds are dead) 3.4/1 against

or

9/44(when he has the T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]) for 3.9/1 against

you should probably download pokerstove and mess around with it, or go to 2dimes

this is pretty basic stuff, and not knowing it can lead to gigantic mistakes

[Mike Kelley]

16.50+10.00+20.00 = 46.50 so we are getting 4.65 to 1 on our call right?

Pokerstove says our equity is

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 24.924% 24.92% 00.00% 329 0.00 { 9h9s }
Hand 1: 75.076% 75.08% 00.00% 991 0.00 { JJ-TT, AKs, AdQd, AdTd, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdTd, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, Kd4d, QdTd, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd6d, JdTd, Jd8d, Jd7d, Td8d, Td7d, 9d8d }

Which is approximately 3 to 1 I think, So I'm guessing this is a good call, bet to a fold on the river as the older wiser posters have stated.