MTT SAT-tightening up my play hand analysis

yimyammer · #1 08-06-2007, 05:36 PM

Ok, people, take it easy on me, I know all you studs always know the right play without much thought, but I am not at your level yet, so hopefully you can help me understand how to play the following hand the best way.

I'm going to break this hand down into several posts for each street so I can hopefully get the best feedback.

This is a Bodog Sat where 6 or 7 players will be awarded a $540 buy in to a larger Sat to win a trip and entry to a WSOP Europe event.

Hand convertors don't work with Bodog, so bear with my manual conversion.

It's late in the event and about 30 people are left.

Blinds are 150/300 no ante

My stack is $8,545.00 before I post my Big Blind. Under the gun has $14,934.50 to start the hand.

There is a limp under the gun by a player who seems to be fairly solid and hasn't done anything too crazy. (side note: my J8 beat his AJ on a J8xxx board earlier in the tourney).

Everyone folds to me in the big blind and I have A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 10 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

What's the consensus on what the best action I should take here and why?

illini43 · #2 08-06-2007, 05:42 PM

I would just check and see a flop.

If you raise to 1200, you are bloating the pot and will have to play out of position the rest of the hand. If your raise is called, the pot will be ~1/3 the size of your stack, making you pot committed.

Checking controls the size of the pot, which is important as you are OOP.

bogey1 · #3 08-06-2007, 05:45 PM

I check and see a flop. I play really cautiously if I flop an Ace and more aggro if I flop a T.

A solid player limping UTG has a pretty narrow range and most all of it beats you. Being aggro when you flop an A may see you outkicked by AQ or AJ or him appropriately folding an underpair. I'd rather he doesn't think I have an A and play accordingly.

If I hit the T, I figure I have him reverse dominated or drawing to between 2 and 6 outs (KQ would have 6, 99 or lower would have 2).

If I miss the flop, I may throw a 1/2 PSB out as a steal, but otherwise I'm check/folding. A-high OOP isn't much to work with post-flop.

Lahmshuffle · #4 08-06-2007, 06:36 PM

yep check it

yimyammer · #5 08-06-2007, 10:00 PM

OK, sounds like everyone is in agreement with a check. I tend to lean toward being too tight, so it's good to know that checking is a logical choice here.

I opted to check for the reasons mentioned plus in a tourney that has the same pay outs for 1st through ?, I value survival even more.

The flop comes:

5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 10 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

What's the best play and why?

Stumpy · #6 08-07-2007, 01:26 AM

Yim, any guess at the average stack at this point?

If 6 pay and there are 30 left, I don't think you're close enough to diverge much from normal play, unless you have a huge stack, which doesn't seem to be the case.

Coz · #7 08-07-2007, 01:36 AM

I think I would lead out for about a 2/3-3/4 sized bet.

yimyammer · #8 08-07-2007, 02:40 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Yim, any guess at the average stack at this point?

If 6 pay and there are 30 left, I don't think you're close enough to diverge much from normal play, unless you have a huge stack, which doesn't seem to be the case.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not 100% sure, but it seems like around 15K

alavet · #9 08-07-2007, 05:24 AM

syandart
bet 2\3

kimos123 · #10 08-07-2007, 07:21 AM

i dont agree on checking the flop, since a solid player will not limp with AJ AQ and i think he is holding a small pair or some SC and a big raise (squeez) will most likly take the pot down.

after the flop i would check and see what is the action behinde me, if someone bets i will check raise him just to see where you stand, if you bet and you are called, you will not know where you stand in the hand.