27T: Call huge riverbet w/ TP?

TruFloridaGator · #1 07-02-2007, 09:50 PM

I sharkscoped him and saw he was -87% over his 1st 13 games.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (7 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Button (t1465)
SB (t1970)
BB (t3355)
UTG (t1620)
MP1 (t1950)
MP2 (t1670)
Hero (t1470)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
2 folds, MP2 calls t30, Hero calls t30, 1 fold, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t120) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, MP2 bets t90, Hero calls t90, SB folds, BB folds.

Turn: (t300) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 bets t180, Hero calls t180.

River: (t660) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 bets t1370 (All-In), Hero ?

Kevin8423 · #2 07-02-2007, 09:51 PM

With the SS stats calling is probably fine.

mildeng · #3 07-02-2007, 09:57 PM

Reads/buyin?

Kevin8423 · #4 07-02-2007, 10:00 PM

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Reads/buyin?

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$27 with SS reads given in OP.

Pudge714 · #5 07-02-2007, 10:07 PM

Fold. This isn't a bluff it's for value. It doesn't matter that he has bad SS stats.

Little John · #6 07-02-2007, 11:32 PM

I think it is pretty close either way.

KoreanBuffet · #7 07-02-2007, 11:33 PM

Idiots can limp and flop 2pair or a set too, fold here.

Kevin8423 · #8 07-02-2007, 11:37 PM

I'm pretty sure someone who according to SS is not only brand new to STTs but also terrible at them could not only be bluffing here but also playing a hand worse than that isn't complete air.

With that said, they would probably play 2 pair/Set similarly. I think you are ahead fairly often though.

Pudge714 · #9 07-02-2007, 11:46 PM

Kevin,
This isn't a line people will take as a bluff. If he was new to poker and wanted to play like an aggro monkey he wouldn't limp preflop. As played he can't have any missed draws, so he needs to be vbetting a worse hand all the way or suddenly turn a hand like middle pair into a bluff.

Kevin8423 · #10 07-02-2007, 11:49 PM

Fair enough, its true that people don't overbet bluff very often.