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Old 06-15-2007, 03:16 PM
karlherkt karlherkt is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 2
Default Stars Million Final Table steal re-raise

Here's a very questionable steal re-raise from the Sunday PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Million, Big Blind is t400000 (7 handed)

MP2 (t14013050)
CO (t10232141)
Button (t5969592)
SB (t20043463)
BB (t5091642)
UTG (t6997774)
MP1 (t6702338)

Preflop: Button is dealt 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t1000000</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t5929592</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 tanks...

I think that this play is bad and instafold but a friend thinks that with an M of just over 7 it was right to gamble big time?

How do final table gambles get evaluated considering the very top heavy payout structure?

Is it correct to be tight with M=7 and move up a couple of spots or should these wild plays be recommended?

Do ICM calculations change the way final table hands are played?

The initial raiser was raising around 15% of hands pre-flop and assuming he was willing to call with only the top 7% this re-raise looks to be very slightly +EV... the real question is whether marginal +EV plays should be made for all your chips at a final table?
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