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#1
06-02-2007, 02:54 PM
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Late in a 15+1.50 MTT on stars, fold 1010?
ok, so from what I have gathered on the button and the SB, the button is a pretty weak player who folds to a re-raise every time he button raises. The SB on the other hand seems very aggressive and has punished the button about 95% of the time he has raised. My thought coming into this hand is that the button will eventually wake up with a real hand because he's seen it's nearly impossible for him to just raise and pick up the blinds with any 2. Also, thinking a little deeper, I'd imagine the SB who seems like a fairly solid player would adjust for this and somewhat tighten his push hands. The table is 6-handed and we're on the final table bubble.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t6000 (6 handed) internettexasholdem.com Button (t99874) SB (t78531) Hero (t113090) UTG (t53234) MP (t100244) CO (t281286) Preflop: Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t24300</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t78531</font> I will post the results after getting some feedback on this one. 
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#4
06-02-2007, 03:43 PM
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Re: Late in a 15+1.50 MTT on stars, fold 1010?
well the question you have to ask is do you want to move up the ladder or risk it all for first place. If the button had been playing tight, with very few raises in position, it would not be a insta shove, i might have to think for a bit. The spot your in makes playing 10 10 very tricky, you could be way behind "18% chance to win, or up against two other players with high cards "30 to 40% chance of winning, "best case your up against 2 smaller pairs and you have 66% chance to win . Do you feel lucky? I would call here, i like to play to win.
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#5
06-02-2007, 05:09 PM
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Re: Late in a 15+1.50 MTT on stars, fold 1010?
[ QUOTE ]
Agreed, instapush always. I cant fold this here ever. If they both have real hands that sucks but most likely they dont. [/ QUOTE ] Had you seen the button fold after raising 4x before? Basically that raise size is committing him to calling a shove from SB. SB should know that he has no fold equity so I definitely lean to both of them having real hands here. I still think it's probably a shove though if you think there is any chance at all you can get the button to fold.
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#6
06-02-2007, 05:50 PM
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Re: Late in a 15+1.50 MTT on stars, fold 1010?
Beware of the great overthink!!!
Yes the button probably adjusted a bit if he is any smart so he probably raises now a hand with which he calls this time, but for SB a push is just to profitable it worked every time like you said why not do it again with any semi-decent hand. Your TT rates to be the best hand, its not even close. ALL IN.
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