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#1
05-13-2007, 06:57 AM
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$3,30 MTT difficult decision
i know im behind here
if i fold i got 18k left and around 17th place 36 left already ITM im currently 7th if i fold i could still make it to FT but if i win this im chipleader depending on villian having a club or not if he has 2 i got 13 outs with 1 i got 14 and none i got 15 outs id say im about 60/40 70/30 ish here PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t1200 (7 handed) internettexasholdem.com UTG (t15441) MP1 (t37794) MP2 (t37463) CO (t26985) Button (t5910) SB (t13950) Hero (t32877) Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to t2400</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls t2400, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls t1200. Flop: (t6450) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t4000</font>, UTG folds, MP2 calls t4000. Turn: (t14450) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t8000</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t27000</font>, Hero ?? 
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#2
05-13-2007, 07:27 AM
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Re: $3,30 MTT difficult decision
You're getting about 2.6:1 odds. I think your only outs are 9 clubs and 3 non-club Kings. I think you're way behind at this point.
I'm not sure I like the turn bet. MP2 called a preflop raise and then he's calling a flop bet. I doubt he's bluffing very often here. I would probably check the turn for pot control and see what he does, maybe call a smallish bet on the turn, maybe you get to see a free river. I am unsure about myself, but I may fold here based on the likelihood that we are way behind and our pot odds suck for catching a river club, and the damage it'll do to our stack.
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#3
05-13-2007, 08:01 AM
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Re: $3,30 MTT difficult decision
Why bet the turn? You have draws everywhere and practically invited villian to come over the top.
Fold here but next time just check that turn card and if you are feeling crazy shove over his cbet.
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#4
05-13-2007, 11:44 AM
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Re: $3,30 MTT difficult decision
I probably check the flop with a nutless FD into 2 players. As played, you are getting the right price against sets and the AT that just hit. (If he has AcTc...then it's rigged) Do players in these call the flop enough w/ KQ that we have to weight it?
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#5
05-13-2007, 12:38 PM
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Re: $3,30 MTT difficult decision
[ QUOTE ]
You're getting about 2.6:1 odds. I think your only outs are 9 clubs and 3 non-club Kings. I think you're way behind at this point. [/ QUOTE ] Why don't we like the three non club 8s? The likely holdings are 2 pair, a set, or maybe TPTK.
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#6
05-13-2007, 02:45 PM
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Re: $3,30 MTT difficult decision
check turn with a ton of outs
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#9
05-13-2007, 03:57 PM
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Re: $3,30 MTT difficult decision
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] You're getting about 2.6:1 odds. I think your only outs are 9 clubs and 3 non-club Kings. I think you're way behind at this point. [/ QUOTE ] Why don't we like the three non club 8s? The likely holdings are 2 pair, a set, or maybe TPTK. [/ QUOTE ] You're right, I missed the 8's. I was tired and not thinking straight.
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#10
05-13-2007, 04:03 PM
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Re: $3,30 MTT difficult decision
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] You're getting about 2.6:1 odds. I think your only outs are 9 clubs and 3 non-club Kings. I think you're way behind at this point. [/ QUOTE ] Why don't we like the three non club 8s? The likely holdings are 2 pair, a set, or maybe TPTK. [/ QUOTE ] You're right, I missed the 8's. I was tired and not thinking straight. [/ QUOTE ] i c what u did there
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