50NL; Flop trip Jacks; He pushes river ???

Lego05 · #1 05-02-2007, 09:27 PM

Villian is 21.88/13.08/1.58 over 841 hands
He seems to be a thinking player.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($34.10)
BB ($82.35)
UTG ($49.65)
Hero ($72.45)
Button ($68.60)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises to $2, Button calls $2, 2 folds.

Flop: ($4.75) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $3.25, Button calls $3.25.

Turn: ($11.25) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $7.5, Button calls $7.50.

River: ($26.25) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $14, Button raises to $55.85, Hero ???

urubu111 · #2 05-02-2007, 09:55 PM

Bet more on turn and more on river! As played I think you have to call because you induce a bluff betting 1/2pot.

NSchandler · #3 05-02-2007, 09:57 PM

I don't know, you've shown some real strength throughout the hand and he still doesn't seem scared. I'd probably muck it.

mikechops · #4 05-02-2007, 11:17 PM

I agree with betting more on the turn especially. I'd likely check/call the river. I don't see you getting a ton of value from a worse hand and ppl often bluff a missed flush draw if they sense weakness.

mrw8419 · #5 05-03-2007, 08:41 AM

I was going to suggest c/r turn, but he has a pretty low aggression number. River is a fold as played, but c/c is better.

Lego05 · #6 05-03-2007, 09:47 AM

I want to talk about this a little more.

I suppose his range here is made up of mostly midpairs and draws:

If I check the river I'd assume he'd usually check with the mid-pairs and maybe he'd bluff with some missed draws, but I don't really think that's too likely considering the aggression I've shown and his AF.

So I bet small hoping to get a call from one of those mid-pairs, which I admit may be unusual for him to call 3 streets with 1.

Looking at it maybe I am getting called so infrequently that check call and picking off an infrequent bluff is still better.....?