$400NL - AK improves on river but facing strength

skegvegaspoker · #1 05-01-2007, 11:55 AM

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $442.60
BB: $400
Hero (UTG): $533.90
MP: $441.20
CO: $93.12
BTN: $350

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
Hero raises to $16, 4 folds, BB calls $12

Flop: ($34) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $28, BB calls $28

Turn: ($90) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($90) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB bets $30, Hero raises to $100, BB raises to $220, Hero to call $120???

Villain is 22/18 from with WTSD of 18.5%.

River an easy fold? Was it a raise in the first place?

No recent history.

Jay Riall · #2 05-01-2007, 11:58 AM

Yes, obvious river raise. I'm not calling the 3bet though, I think you see a set or 78 way more than you do weaker Aces up or something.

CopTHIS · #3 05-01-2007, 12:15 PM

Obvious river raise and I'm not folding here with these odds without a damn good read.

Jay Riall · #4 05-01-2007, 12:16 PM

You really think anyone plays a hand like A9 more than about 5% of the time? I don't.

CopTHIS · #5 05-01-2007, 12:20 PM

[ QUOTE ]
You really think anyone plays a hand like A9 more than about 5% of the time? I don't.

[/ QUOTE ]

I swear I see bs all the time on Party and expect enough equity to call here against a semi-unknown player, though I'd not feel great about it.

Get_better_Baris · #6 05-01-2007, 12:23 PM

people r 2 results or.

Jay Riall · #7 05-01-2007, 12:24 PM

[ QUOTE ]
people r 2 results or.

[/ QUOTE ]

How so?

skegvegaspoker · #8 05-01-2007, 12:46 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
people r 2 results or.

[/ QUOTE ]

How so?

[/ QUOTE ]

binions · #9 05-01-2007, 01:07 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Obvious river raise and I'm not folding here with these odds without a damn good read.

[/ QUOTE ]

120 to win 410. Need 12/53 equity to make the call, or 22.6%. Does he have a worse 2 pair or AQ-AJ or a bluff here 23% of the time? It's close, but I favor a call at this price with top 2.

AcTiOnJaCsOn · #10 05-01-2007, 01:19 PM

Ya i think i call this riveragainst a thinking villian your hand is def under represented and the price is to good