Shooting Star Hand-What to do with a Set?

EasyGoer · #1 03-13-2007, 01:03 PM

We are 1 hour into the Shooting Star Event. Started with $20K in chips. I still have about that amount. Blinds are 50-100.

One player limps UTG+1, another limps, I limp with 22, SB and BB call.

Flop: A 2 6 (2 spades).

Everone checks to me and I bet $300. UTG+1 raises to $800. I call.

Turn: J (not a spade). UTG+1 bets $1,600. I raise to $5,000.
UTG+1 goes all in (he has approximately the same amount of chips as me).

Note: To this point he has played a lot more hands than me but I have not seen him to do anything crazy. I have played
very, very few hands.

Should I call?

AragornX151 · #2 03-13-2007, 01:11 PM

Was the ace a spade?

TakenItEasy · #3 03-13-2007, 01:14 PM

I call, He could have 2 pair. I don't think I ever get away from set over set.

sapsuckah · #4 03-13-2007, 01:19 PM

Beat him to the middle.

nath · #5 03-13-2007, 01:42 PM

if I had to guess you're good like 25% of the time here

nath · #6 03-13-2007, 01:50 PM

which is to say i probably don't fold but i think this is 666 almost all the time and only rarely AJ (maybe AAA if he's weird)

TakenItEasy · #7 03-13-2007, 02:29 PM

I think AJ fits squarely into villains line and there are many more AJ thn 66 combinations.

Why discount the AJ so heavily? Also I think A6s, A2s are posible as well although less likely.

rafiki · #8 03-13-2007, 02:52 PM

I insta call. I can't see making that laydown consistantly as being +EV. In fact it's probably massively -EV to play like that. People will run over you if you're always worried about a bigger set.

nath · #9 03-13-2007, 03:01 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think AJ fits squarely into villains line and there are many more AJ thn 66 combinations.

Why discount the AJ so heavily? Also I think A6s, A2s are posible as well although less likely.

[/ QUOTE ]
I consider it less likely that AJ checkraises the flop than a set, and when hero raises the turn, any halfway decent opponent is slowing down with 2 pair. Some of them will felt AJ here but I think the flop line is very unusual for AJ

adanthar · #10 03-13-2007, 03:04 PM

[ QUOTE ]
which is to say i probably don't fold but i think this is 666 almost all the time and only rarely AJ (maybe AAA if he's weird)

[/ QUOTE ]

live, I agree with this. online, I would snap call and expect to see, like...anything down to gutshots or something. but seriously, online, A3o is not the bottom of his range.