Line Check, this is a call right? 20/180

[Dave D]

21 left in a 20/180. I'm thinking b/c of pot odds this is a call right (and because I have like 4.5 blinds). I dont think reads on villian matter too much, but I think b/c of his position he's probably not stealing or doing this with air. It is the bubble, so I guess people generally play tighter.

1300 in the pot before villian's raise.

Thoughts?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP2 (t10317)
CO (t11796)
Button (t7040)
SB (t12735)
Hero (t2785)
UTG (t13927)
UTG+1 (t9968)
MP1 (t12527)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to t1800</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t2735</font>,

[mikeJ]

Yes, and why do you have 4.5 bbs? If you didn't just get crippled, then you're pulling the AI trigger way too late.

You're getting effective odds of 3600/2100, nearly 2 to 1, even if you were against 99+/AQ+, you're better than the odds the pot is laying you. Moreso, you gain FE for your shoves if you double up here. You'll have nearly 6k and be able to make +cEV shoves that you can't make w/ a 2100 chip stack.

[Dave D]

Just ran dead late in the tourney, didn't get a chance to make any moves b/c too much action in front of me. Nothing special on that front.

[mikeJ]

[ QUOTE ]
Just ran dead late in the tourney, didn't get a chance to make any moves b/c too much action in front of me. Nothing special on that front.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ahh, you see, there is something special. There is absolutely no reason you should get ground down to 4.5 bbs. You are missing shoves. I am sure of it.

[NHFunkii]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Just ran dead late in the tourney, didn't get a chance to make any moves b/c too much action in front of me. Nothing special on that front.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ahh, you see, there is something special. There is absolutely no reason you should get ground down to 4.5 bbs. You are missing shoves. I am sure of it.

[/ QUOTE ]

while probably true, it's not necessarily true

[mikeJ]

Even if the blinds just went up by 50%. 4.5 bbs = 6.75 bbs @ the previous level. You should have plenty of opportunity to get ~7bbs in a +cEV situation.

[Fiksdal]

[ QUOTE ]

while probably true, it's not necessarily true


[/ QUOTE ]
qft...

I don't have a problem with taking a gamble here btw.