Weird posting hand - K5s

[bbbushu]

UB $1/$2 LHE
6-max 5/6

No reads of significance - this was obv my first hand. I originally thought I played the hand well but have since developed some questions. Comments on all streets welcomed and if i don't get information on my curiousities, i'll specifically bring them up later.

*****

<font color="blue">Chun li</font> posts in CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Pre-flop:

one fold, <font color="blue">Chun li raises</font>, two folds, BB three-bets <font color="blue">Chun li calls</font>

(6.5 small bets)

Flop:
K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

BB bets, <font color="blue">Chun li raises</font>, BB calls

(5.25 bets)

Turn:
8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

BB checks, <font color="blue">Chun li bets</font>, BB raises, <font color="blue">Chun li calls</font>

(9.25 bets)

River:
5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

BB bets, <font color="blue">Chun li ... </font>

(10.25 bets before i act)

*****

thanks
bbbushu

[27offsooot]

Combos that play this way that u beat:
AA - 6
AK - 8
KQ - 8
KT - 8

total 30
Combos that beat u:
KJ - 4
JJ - 3
88 - 3
total = 10

You have to beat twice as many combos, and u do with a decent overlay (if u wanna discount KT a lil and include a discounted 22, it becomes close though). Since i don't think he folds those that u beat ever, raise the river.

It sucks to have to call a three bet, but i think u have to.

He could have QT too, but that doesn't matter as he's not calling a raise.

[jba]

I dont think I'd raise the flop unless it lets me showdown vs. AA cheaper.

I believe the river is just a call - especially if you can't fold to a 3bet.

[jba]

"if u wanna discount KT a lil and include a discounted 22"

22 seems way more likely than KT, and I think KQ doesn't always take this strong of a line either.

[27offsooot]

[ QUOTE ]
"if u wanna discount KT a lil and include a discounted 22"

22 seems way more likely than KT, and I think KQ doesn't always take this strong of a line either.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he 3 bets 22 PF, he's doing this post-flop w/ any K that he 3 balled with pretty high (like close to 100%) frequency. Also, if u include 22, u have to start assigning some frequency to K9- and some to garbage hands like AJ.

[27offsooot]

forgot KK - 1.

[Burnsabre]

It looks alot like hes trying to run over a poster. Raise.

[RunDownHouse]

[ QUOTE ]
It looks alot like hes trying to run over a poster. Raise.

[/ QUOTE ]
This was my first thought as well. If I notice a TAG posting and then raising, I 3bet way lighter than I would in any other situation. I know that's a lot of supposition for this case, but its something to keep in mind. In any case, from the purely combo standpoint someone else posted, you're good enough to at least raise the river.

I'd really consider pounding the flop here, as well, your equity is so good.

[ILOVEPOKER929]

Postflop: I usually call down unless I improve in this spot. About the river play. I got you clocked as a 22:13 favorite on the river assuming the villain can only have these hands: AA,AK,KQ,KK,JJ,88,KJ. Assuming you will always call a 3bet, it looks like that just calling the river is you best play based on my math and my hand range, but if you toss a few other hands in there, the river can easily be a raise/call so the river play is close and its not gonna matter much either way.

[dink]

is everyone raising (or even calling) this PF?