99 over pair, big pot closing action

[Tryptamean]

Preflop raiser is 33/20/1.7, hasn't done anything to get out of line that ive noticed, comments on all street s welcome

PokerStars 10/20 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls, Hero calls, MP calls.

Flop: (15.50 SB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Button calls, BB calls, Hero calls, MP calls.

Turn: (10.25 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets $18 (All-In)</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, Button calls, BB calls, Hero calls.

River: (15.15 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players, 1 all-in)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Button calls, BB calls, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 19.15 BB

[william288]

bet flop/fold turn after come back 2

mp has 77/66/55. co can beat top pair. basically on that board a,2,5,6,7,8 all are dangerous cards.

call 2bb is too much.

[ssmallz]

Betting the flop is the play here. Try to eliminate some people. The turn is a bit tricky. If CO knows that MP is all in, he might be raising lighter than you expect hoping to eliminate the competition knowing that he will never be 3 balled by MP. Based on the action CO likely has an overpair to your nines.

[sweetjazz]

Can you please clarify if CO is completing to $20 or raising to make it $38?

[william288]

i agree under normal condition co can raise light because mp's all-in. But i think it's less likely on this hand because of the board texture. it's small-card connected board. Bb is in the pot. that board helps bb a lot. also mp has a made hand because he is short stack. If mp does not have a made hand, in order to drag as much money as possible, he will c/c his drawing hands instead of betting and likely to be raised by co to shut out the field. So high possibility co can beat hero's 99.

[Tryptamean]

Thanks for the input so far. It seems that betting the flop would have been best here. By default I instinctively "go with the flow" and check to the preflop aggressor.

I don't think that MP's action should have much effect on my decision. The CO only completed the bet to $20.

After I called the flop and found myself closing the action on the turn, I just about had odds to hit my set (considering implied odds are likely good for this action) and the times I actually have the best hand.

On the river, getting 18 to 1 I crying called, hoping CO bet a hand like 77 or AK all the way to the river and that nobody else had better than TP.... thats a lot to hope for.

[william288]

[ QUOTE ]

The CO only completed the bet to $20.



[/ QUOTE ]

this changes the whole hand