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  #1  
Old 01-04-2007, 11:55 PM
sluttysteve sluttysteve is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 577
Default nut flush on paired board vs. superrock

villain is 18/0/0.33 over 30 hands, small sample, i know. turn line is questionable, but given how the hand played, is this an instacall on river or can i consider folding?

Full Tilt Poker
$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
MP: $50
CO: $84.60
BTN: $42.65
Hero (SB): $100.05
BB: $42.45

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($1.5, 5 players)
MP folds, CO calls $1, BTN calls $1, Hero calls $0.50, BB checks

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($4, 4 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $3</font>, BB calls $3, <font color="red">CO raises to $7</font>, BTN folds, Hero calls $4, BB calls $4

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] [5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] ($25, 3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, CO checks

<font color="black">River:</font> 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] [7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]] ($25, 3 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $15</font>, BB folds, <font color="red">CO raises all in to $76.60</font>...
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  #2  
Old 01-05-2007, 12:05 AM
natzucowww natzucowww is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 500
Default Re: nut flush on paired board vs. superrock

bad turn check cause pot's 3-way so villains thinking it's more likely someone has a flush and checks it thru. then when you lead the river and get raised you can make an easier tough decision. plus your bet on the river is pretty weak so maybe he's trying to bump you off summin tho it looks like he boated up.
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  #3  
Old 01-05-2007, 01:21 AM
Chaostracize Chaostracize is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 2,509
Default Re: nut flush on paired board vs. superrock

You really think CO is limping with AA/88/77? Not me. His stats are definitely weird, though, but over 30 hands they don't mean much.

Btw, pot the turn. River is whatever. You need to bet the whole 25, and then the raise calls itself. As it stands... call.
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