Steal attempt turns interesting..

DaCooler · #1 01-02-2007, 07:32 PM

How often do you think the short stack folds to a river bet here??

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
4 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $72.55
Hero: $446.05
SB: $313.95
BB: $79.35

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is Button with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG calls, Hero raises to $10, SB folds, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($31, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks.

Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($31, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $18, BB folds, UTG calls.

River: 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($67, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $32.

MasterLJ · #2 01-02-2007, 07:35 PM

Don't know what you are trying to represent. If I'm going to bet the river, it'll have to be enough to make a J think twice about calling, somewhere around $50.

There are a lot of draws that missed though, so I can see why you might argue that $32 is enough to get those people to fold, but not enough to get a solid J to fold.

DaCooler · #3 01-02-2007, 07:36 PM

BB only had about 45 left.. seems to me sometimes when you put the shorties all in they call more often than when you bet a bit less, might be just bad thinking but... I kind of thought this line may represent QQQ

LuckyDevil · #4 01-02-2007, 07:37 PM

Fine turn bet, but i'd just check river. Its possible your hand is good if he had a draw, but unlikely you can get a better hand to fold, especially a short stack.

DaCooler · #5 01-02-2007, 07:39 PM

Ya i strongly considered checking and hoping K10 109, but i had a suspicion he had a mid pair.. or the j ack

smellmuth · #6 01-02-2007, 07:57 PM

check turn, as played check river.

Abramovic · #7 01-02-2007, 07:59 PM

Fold preflop I think.

smellmuth · #8 01-02-2007, 08:01 PM

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Fold preflop I think.

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lol thats the most useless advice ever.

MikeHouston · #9 01-02-2007, 08:05 PM

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Fold preflop I think.

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lol thats the most useless advice ever.

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But pretty much spot on.

LuckyDevil · #10 01-02-2007, 08:06 PM

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Fold preflop I think.

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lol thats the most useless advice ever.

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Perhaps you should tell him why instead of just being condescending.