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  #1  
Old 12-13-2006, 08:10 PM
Tokyo!! Tokyo!! is offline
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Default 2/4 NL, Bluffing in a blind battle

Villain is 31.6/26.3 over 19 hands, and has 3bet a couple times preflop, and in general has been active postflop. I believe he is capable of raising this flop with air, but in general, is this a good spot to try a bluff? I figured any raise less than allin would pot commit me, or at least would make things really ugly. My image had been very tight so far, running at 14.3/10, mostly due to poor cards. Was this spew?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (5 handed) internettexasholdem.com

MP ($566)
Button ($262.50)
Hero ($395.40)
BB ($364)
UTG ($1179.55)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $16</font>, BB calls $12.

Flop: ($32) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $26</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $60</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $379.4</font>, BB ??.

Final Pot: $471.40
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  #2  
Old 12-13-2006, 08:30 PM
Archetype Archetype is offline
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Default Re: 2/4 NL, Bluffing in a blind battle

[ QUOTE ]
Villain is 31.6/26.3 over 19 hands

[/ QUOTE ]

19 hands is not enough to get a proper poker tracker read on someone. This could have been you sitting down at his first run of good cards in two hours. You also just commit nearly $400 in chips to win a little over $100 on a stone cold bluff. This is definitly -EV over the long term, even against the worst of the worst players.
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  #3  
Old 12-13-2006, 08:44 PM
Tokyo!! Tokyo!! is offline
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Default Re: 2/4 NL, Bluffing in a blind battle

So you think he calls with a 4, 77+, any flush draw?
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  #4  
Old 12-13-2006, 08:53 PM
Archetype Archetype is offline
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Default Re: 2/4 NL, Bluffing in a blind battle

[ QUOTE ]
So you think he calls with a 4, 77+, any flush draw?

[/ QUOTE ]

That is exactly my point, you dont know. It is possible that he would, but you also dont know how strong he is. Like I said your bet might have worked, but in the long run I think this will be -EV.
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  #5  
Old 12-14-2006, 02:31 AM
PatInTheHat PatInTheHat is offline
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Default Re: 2/4 NL, Bluffing in a blind battle

This looks like spew. I'd be much happier if you made it 150-200 but either way ugh.
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  #6  
Old 12-14-2006, 02:33 AM
Big_Jim Big_Jim is offline
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Default Re: 2/4 NL, Bluffing in a blind battle

Why so much?
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