fading wagerline picks 11-1

donfrap · #1 11-01-2006, 06:16 PM

read other post for info on this. Will include the expert vs BSP picks also, but I don't really know if anyone is a "team expert" on opening night.

Teams that are starred are ones including in the expert vs bsp. Numbers after the pick are wagerline consensus numbers against at time of betting.

***Milwaukee Bucks +7 -102 67.5%
New Orleans Hornets +3.5 -111 67.29%
Washington Wizards +6 -104 66.65%
Toronto Raptors +7 +100 66.62%
Los Angeles Clippers +4 -107 62.83%
Portland Trail Blazers +9 -110 62.3%
New York Knicks +5 -102 60.63%
Utah Jazz +1 -107 60.06%
Charlotte Bobcats +1 -108 62.37%
Orlando Magic +2 -110 65.95%
Indiana Pacers OVER 194 +102 71.23%
Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194 -108 63.86%
***Phoenix Suns UNDER 212 -108 61.21%
Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 193 -101 67.46%
***Golden State Warriors UNDER 203.5 +105 67.9%

Jordan · #2 11-03-2006, 03:20 AM

WIN ***Milwaukee Bucks +7 -102 67.5%
WIN New Orleans Hornets +3.5 -111 67.29%
WIN Washington Wizards +6 -104 66.65%
LOSS Toronto Raptors +7 +100 66.62%
LOSS Los Angeles Clippers +4 -107 62.83%
WIN Portland Trail Blazers +9 -110 62.3%
WIN New York Knicks +5 -102 60.63%
WIN Utah Jazz +1 -107 60.06%
LOSS Charlotte Bobcats +1 -108 62.37%
WIN Orlando Magic +2 -110 65.95%
WIN Indiana Pacers OVER 194 +102 71.23%
WIN Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194 -108 63.86%
LOSS ***Phoenix Suns UNDER 212 -108 61.21%
WIN Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 193 -101 67.46%
LOSS ***Golden State Warriors UNDER 203.5 +105 67.9%

10-5 on all.

1-2 on Expert vs BSP.

of course it's a very small sample size, but interesting nonetheless.

donfrap, are you planning to continue this? i might consider doing it if you don't.

Lori · #3 11-03-2006, 06:21 AM

I like the concept.

FWIW I don't think team experts will matter, but we'll see. I think they are 95%+ a measure of where people's variance has ended up, but tracking it as an extra stat is still more than welcome.

Lori

donfrap · #4 11-03-2006, 01:28 PM

yeah, i'll be posting these pretty much daily. Some nights I work until 9, so I can't get the early games in. I think it is important to wait until close to the 7 o clock tipoffs, because most BSPs dont bet until real close to the game. I will include last nights games in the YTD.