MTT 35k guaranteed (30+3 rebuy). Make a move here?

esbo · #1 10-14-2006, 05:56 PM

I have been playing on this table for quite long. My image should be very tight. I have been all-in before the flop twice earlier and I was once called when I had kings. UTG+2 has also played tight. UTG is a short stack and I'm sure he's capable of moving in here with any hand better than random. Blinds are 300/600 so no rebuy option available any more. UTG has 2,5k, UTG+2 has 9,5k and I have about 7k. I have A8o here. I should also mention that the button and blinds are pretty tight also.

No hand history unfortunately but this is how the pre-flop action went.

UTG goes all-in, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls 2,5k...everyone folds to hero on CO.

So what's my plan here? Folding is obviously a good choise but how about moving in?

diebitter · #2 10-14-2006, 06:04 PM

That's a clear fold. Don't flip for your tourney life before you have to without decent cards.

HamJam · #3 10-14-2006, 06:12 PM

the question is how likely is it UTG+2 folds. utg can have nearly any two.

my first reaction is you dont have enough chips to pull this move, maybe with 9000. i think i write this way too often but it depends how strong your read is. i think his call is weaker than a raise especially if you see him as straightforward. if you've observed enough that you think he's noticed you've been playing tight and is capable of laying down AJ then go for it.

esbo · #4 10-15-2006, 05:32 AM

Well, I made a move here. I thought that he most likely had 77+, AJ+ but not AA or KK. He was pretty straightforward so he would raise with AA or KK. I thought he would need something like AK or jacks to call here even though he was getting great pot odds. I felt that he doesn't want to risk majority of his stack with any weaker ace or middle pair against a tight player. Unfortunately he had AK and called and I didn't manage to suck out. BTW Utg had KTo and neither he gained any help.

nath · #5 10-15-2006, 06:30 AM

[ QUOTE ]
the question is how likely is it UTG+2 folds. utg can have nearly any two.

[/ QUOTE ]
What? No he doesn't. He called off more than 1/4 of his chips in EP. He does not have "Any two".

This is a very clear fold.

Imrahil · #6 10-15-2006, 09:30 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
the question is how likely is it UTG+2 folds. utg can have nearly any two.

[/ QUOTE ]
What? No he doesn't. He called off more than 1/4 of his chips in EP. He does not have "Any two".

This is a very clear fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, UTG pushed so he could have nearly any two, not UTG+2.