Bluffing with AA

BDaws · #1 08-10-2006, 06:43 AM

Reads: Villain's stats pointed to him being a nit, 15/3 after 18 hands. I should've folded the flop. That being said, considering he almost definitely has a set, is this a good time to bluff?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($141.82)
UTG ($227.71)
MP ($585.93)
Hero ($194.04)
Button ($236.69)
SB ($202.15)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
2 folds, Hero raises to $8, Button calls $8, 1 fold, BB calls $6.

Flop: ($25) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $20, Button raises to $55, BB folds, Hero calls $35.

Turn: ($135) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

River: ($135) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero pushes for 131.04...

Dan BRIGHT · #2 08-10-2006, 06:49 AM

On the flop I put him to a decision for all of his chips

younghov17 · #3 08-10-2006, 07:13 AM

i 3 bet this flop often as i think is range here includes hands ur ahead of.

psuasskicker · #4 08-10-2006, 09:35 AM

Yup...I force him to make the decision on the flop.

BTW, I don't think you're bluffing all that often on this river...

- C -

all_in_lam · #5 08-10-2006, 09:37 AM

your flop call makes no sense if you think this is a bluff.
unless you aren't sure if it is or not.

ipp147 · #6 08-10-2006, 09:46 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Reads: Villain's stats pointed to him being a nit, 15/3 after 18 hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

I wouldn't read much into an 18 hand stretch. I'm sure I've been 0/0 over an 18 hand stretch.

Push flop.

shootaa · #7 08-10-2006, 10:51 AM

18 hands means nothing obv. i would 3 bet this, esp w/ his weak raise, it could easily be a hand like JT testing the waters... so blast his face off. +, u dont want to c another club obv, make the move b4 it can get there

amoeba · #8 08-10-2006, 11:24 AM

pushing the flop sucks as trying to bluff out set with 2 streets for him to fill up is bad.

I like the way that hero played.

Zag · #9 08-10-2006, 11:30 AM

I like this if:

Button would never bet a flush draw.
Hero typically would, and button knows it.
Hero check-raises fairly frequently and button knows it.
Button is capable of laying down a small flush on this board.

I'd settle for any two of the first three, but you need the last one.

amoeba · #10 08-10-2006, 11:39 AM

my point regarding the flop is there is virtually no hand you are ahead of that he would make that raise with. any pair with a club is a favorite against you. I just don't think hes raising with top pair no club especially something small like $35 more here very often. I also don't think this raise is made with the naked ace.

when a non A club pops, we can make a very believable bluff and there is a very narrow range of hands that villain can call us with here. even the K of clubs has a hard decision and I doubt the K of clubs is there very often as villain would have to have specifically KJ with K of clubs on the flop.