$25NL: Set of Qs on a Monotone Flop

OHFreak · #1 07-28-2006, 02:25 AM

3rd hand at this table, no prior data on villain. In ya'll's experience do villains at this buyin usually do this with a draw or only with a made flush? Do you even consider folding?

Poker Room skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.15/$0.25
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $18.95
Hero: $25.00
MP1: $18.50
MP2: $5.70
MP3: $7.90
CO: $39.15
Button: $23.35
SB: $9.75
BB: $21.90

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG+1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, 2 folds, MP3 calls, 4 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($4.90, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG is all-in $17.45</font>, Hero weeps quietly to himself

luke4130 · #2 07-28-2006, 02:33 AM

I'd call this pretty quickly, it's a draw or some kind of random [censored] often enough to make it +EV imo.

Bukem_ · #3 07-28-2006, 02:35 AM

Shrug, call, suck out if needed.

tubasteve · #4 07-28-2006, 02:39 AM

call 100% of the time

furyshade · #5 07-28-2006, 03:14 AM

call, worst case scenario you make your boat 33% of time

lorez · #6 07-28-2006, 10:25 AM

Difficult. You have a player to act after you so even if UTG is drawing MP3 might already hold the flush. I'd call (or push just to make it HU) as you are 2/1 to hit the boat. So the pot odds tell you to do it.

stewcrew · #7 07-28-2006, 10:42 AM

I would call. However raising so that the guy behind you will fold his flush is not a good play. If you have a different motive for raising that may well be a good play. But think of it this way, you have a made flush on the flop, and there is an all in (overbet) and a call in front you. At this level I'm still not folding a made flush whether or not you raise.

I usually call this all the time. But lately I have seen the flush more often here. Its like I have the nuts lets bet it all without consideration to whether my opponent will call or not. Just call and suck out if not ahead.

KingKory · #8 07-28-2006, 10:42 AM

Call. He's got a lower set.

OHFreak · #9 07-28-2006, 12:09 PM

Thanks for the feedback.

Do the stakes matter in your mind here? Would you be more or less inclined to believe this was a flush at $200NL vs. $25NL? IF UTG check-raised AI after my PSB on the flop, do you usually put him on a draw vs. the open-push? Reads would be so very helpful here, meh.