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#1
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why isn't there a line on the election and why dont ppl bet on it?
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#2
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wsex.
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#3
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Betfair prices, so you likely can't get on, but as a guide:
Rep candidate: Giuliani +122 Romney +265 Paul +1400 McCain +1500 Thompson +1900 Huckabee +1100 Dem: Clinton -250 Obama +460 Gore +2300 Edwards +1850 President: Dem -200 Rep +192 |
#4
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Looking at WSEX prices there's value in shorting candidates like Ron Paul and Fred Thompson for Rep. Nom, but who wants to hold onto futures for that long for a 4% return on non-negligible risk? Interesting to hear an analysis on +EV choice to win though.
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#5
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[ QUOTE ]
Looking at WSEX prices there's value in shorting candidates like Ron Paul and Fred Thompson for Rep. Nom, but who wants to hold onto futures for that long for a 4% return on non-negligible risk? Interesting to hear an analysis on +EV choice to win though. [/ QUOTE ] I'd be interested in something closer and doing a middle on something like a Clinton/Obama ticket v Repubs. I think that ticket is a crash and burn, Edwards has got to get on there for a chance. |
#6
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My gut says there is a lot of value on Romney at +265. To greatly minimize risk you could put 1u on Rudy at +122 and 1u on Romney at +265. I'd estimate that > 90% of the time one of these 2 gets the nod and if I were booking I'd have both at -105.
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#7
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or obama
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#8
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Yeah getting that much on Obama, probably has some value, but it's thin.
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#9
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Bottom line, do you guys think this country is ready to elect a female President?
I don't no matter how bad the Republican is. |
#10
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All republicans should burn for banning online gambling...all of them plus any other politician who wants to tell dumb yanks what to do.
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