$25 full tilt - ever fold low 2 pair to maniac?

[kurto]

Villain - stats like 60+/27/3. He has approx $40.

I have approx. $30.

READ: He open raises from any position 2-3bb. I have seen him raise literaly ATC. Is not positionally aware. I have seen him bet multiple streets with any pair and a draw... I have also seen him slowdown on some hands if he's called down. The reason I sat at this table was because of this guy. That being said, I have only played a couple hands against him where I called down smallish bets with 1 pair hands and have won them all. I haven't seen him in any big hands yet. (his stack was this deep before I sat down)

Villain opens to .75 from UTG. Folds to me.

I call with 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

FLOP: A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Villain bets $1. I call.

TURN: 5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img])

Villain bets $3. I raise to $10. Villain calls

RIVER: 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Villain pushes....

What percentage of the time do you think I'm good here?

[YanP]

so often good here, the only hands a random 4 and aces up and a set. you can't put a 60/27 on anything near that range with your read.

i did a simular thing today for 33$ eff stacks againsy an 84/24. with KTo on a T83 flop and A came out on the turn and a blank low river, and still called his river push. he showed 84o

The % of times you have him hammered here is huge, high variance, high EV.

[x] brag disguised as reply

[Restlys]

all the time he plays A4, your beat, the rest your good - i insta call this...based on the belief that he was not slowplaying a set DUHHH and not playing a SD...if he does have A4 your making big money off his ass so i wouldnt worry.....