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AQs defends SB, BB joins with a cap
Was I spewing here? Honestly said I didn't have much of a plan in the heat of the action and two other tables open...
Vilain is 25/12.5/1.1 over ~33 hands, at the time of playing his att. to steal blinds was something like 33% I think. Not many hands so these reads are probably not very reliable. BB is 31/4.3/1.54 over 40 hands. Titan Limit Hold'em, $0.50/$1.00 (Titan HH Converter by Kreatief) Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, Button calls, Hero calls, AQs is very strong against a possible steal, so 3-bet of course. BB worries me with his cap though. Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ( 12SB, 3 players ) Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, Hero calls, I checked to see what happens, BB c-bets, Villain raises and now what... didn't think much and clicked the raise button, because I wanted to knock BB out. I immediately regretted it, because only KK and QQ would fold and all the better hands would call/raise (JJ, AA, AK). Villain didn't fear BB's preflop cap so I figured out he holds at least an ace. In this case AK becomes much less likely, but it's still something like 50:50. Out of JJ+ and AK range 8 combos beat me and I beat 7 of them. Turn: 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ( 10.5BB ) Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>... Anyway BB folded but then Villain capped the flop. On the turn the pot was very big but do I beat anything at all? Am I good ~14% of the time (risking 2 bets to win ~14). ------ I think the flop was terrible. What would be the best plan there? Donk? Cold-call BB's raise? Fold to that raise? Villain's aggression factor is low but that takes some time to converge. If my read was more reliable, I would probably fold to his raise (a passive villain raising a PF capper almost surely beats TP2K). |
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