$2000+150. Am I bluffing?

Jman28 · #1 01-31-2006, 12:06 AM

Villain is unknown. I think a flop bet would've been the right move here. When it gets to the turn, I try to put him on a hand, and I can't think of anything besides low pocket pair. I thought about just calling and checking behind on the river, but I decided to raise just in case his pair was higher than mine.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (10 handed) converter

MP3 (t1000)
CO (t1000)
Hero (t990)
SB (t985)
BB (t1000)
UTG (t1000)
UTG+1 (t1000)
UTG+2 (t775)
MP1 (t1000)
MP2 (t1250)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls t15, 5 folds, Hero calls t15, 1 fold, BB checks.

Flop: (t52.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

Turn: (t52.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 bets t50, Hero raises to t125,

J-Lo · #2 01-31-2006, 12:29 AM

i might have monsters under my bed, but why woulnd't it be a missed checkraise? People don't limp AJ in EP?

Now i see there are only 3 people in the hand. I still think it's a bluff when your betting, because he can still have 77+. I prefer a raise to a call, because i don't wanna play guessing games on the river.

ilya · #3 01-31-2006, 12:33 AM

Why can't he have KQ? That's what strikes me as his most likely hand at the turn. You think he semi-bluffs the flop 3-handed?

Jman28 · #4 01-31-2006, 12:42 AM

Although he's unknown, most players at this level don't limp AJ or KQ in EP. Most will fold them, some raise. I think that AJ can't expect me to bet, and even if I do, his check raise puts him in a wierd spot if called when a diamond or face card hits.

So, I think any ace bets the flop. KQ is possible, but unlikely.

suzzer99 · #5 01-31-2006, 12:46 AM

What do they do with AQ at this level?

Jman28 · #6 01-31-2006, 12:49 AM

[ QUOTE ]
What do they do with AQ at this level?

[/ QUOTE ]
Usually raise.

suzzer99 · #7 01-31-2006, 12:56 AM

UTG even?

Jman28 · #8 01-31-2006, 12:58 AM

[ QUOTE ]
UTG even?

[/ QUOTE ]
Ummm. Everyone's different obviously. I think most raise AQo UTG.

suzzer99 · #9 01-31-2006, 01:45 AM

Cool. Just wondering if there was a level where most people fold AQo UTG.

Jman28 · #10 01-31-2006, 01:46 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Cool. Just wondering if there was a level where most people fold AQo UTG.

[/ QUOTE ]

When 8 tabling 109s or 215s, I've been known to fold AQo UTG.