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#1
08-16-2007, 05:06 PM
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Cardinals +700 to win NL Central
***WARNING*** I live in St. Louis.
This is at bodog, of course. Before today's game, the Cardinals were trading at +376 at wsex, and I assume they will be around +300 after the game today. The market is paused now a wsex obviously, but for some reason bodog still allows you to bet their lines during games. I was about to post this last night when they were +750, but bodog closed down their lines minutes after I bet it. I assumed they would open it back up at around +350-400, but this line is still laughable. Great bet on value alone, but if anyone needs more analysis, I'd be happy to give it. I don't think this line will be around much longer, and just wanted to type this up quickly. 
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#2
08-16-2007, 05:09 PM
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Re: Cardinals +700 to win NL Central
It's all because of Rick Ankiel.
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#3
08-16-2007, 05:28 PM
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Re: Cardinals +700 to win NL Central
PECOTA says Cardinals have only a 9% chance.
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#4
08-16-2007, 06:21 PM
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Re: Cardinals +700 to win NL Central
when the dodgers had over a 50% chance of winning I grabbed them at +175--of course now it's around 8% [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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#6
08-16-2007, 06:39 PM
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Re: Cardinals +700 to win NL Central
[ QUOTE ]
PECOTA says Cardinals have only a 9% chance. [/ QUOTE ] This means absolutely nothing, DUCY? [ QUOTE ] Hmm +700 is pretty sick I can't find anywhere near close to those odds. Seeking a hedge now.... [/ QUOTE ] The market at wsex is now open, cards are at +270. You can sell them at -335 for an 11.7% arb between bodog and wsex if you have both books.
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#7
08-16-2007, 06:57 PM
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Re: Cardinals +700 to win NL Central
Or you could just sell them at -335 and not arb.
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#8
08-16-2007, 07:04 PM
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Re: Cardinals +700 to win NL Central
+700 is amazing. Both the Brew Crew and the Cubbies are choking right now. St. Louis has the Cubbies for the next 4 games. I can seem them taking 3 of these. I mean if the Reds can take 2 of 3 from the Cubs St. Louis can take 3 of 4. The final six games of the Season for the Cubs are St. Louis and then Cincy at Cincy. Not good for them.
Brewers are looking at with St. Louis and then San Diego. Love St. Louis to pull out the NL Central.
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