$6 A3o bubble play

[sbarber]

I ran this through sngwiz and it suggested a fold. sngwiz said A7+/A3s+. So according to ICM this is a mistake. Is it a really bad mistake, or a marginal push, just not quite the right decision?

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (4 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

SB (t4770)
BB (t2400)
UTG (t3700)
Hero (t2630)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t2400</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls t1600 (All-In).

Flop: (t5200) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>
.

Turn: (t5200) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

River: (t5200) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t5200

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
BB has Td 6d (two pair, sevens and sixes).
Hero has 3d Ah (one pair, sevens).
Outcome: BB wins t5200. </font>

[J Darnielle]

Standard.

[vers]

you can't fold here. You should be shoving very lightly here.

[Scotty_12]

Folding here would be the really bad mistake. Half your stack in dead money in there + an ace on the button is a very instant shove, I dont think there is a hand I would be laying down, sb shouldnt be calling you very loose.

With BB callling T6s (55% if thats the worst of his range) you should be pushing at least Q highs. FOR him to call you that wide, he needs to view you as pushing wider than 72% for breakeven, im sure that was his thought process in this hand LOL


Anyways gl at the tables, nice work sorry he drew out on you

[CheeseMoney]

Life is gonna get real -EV real soon if you don't shove this.