bottom straight facing heat from a nit

[AZplaya]

Villian is 15/8 over 300 hands, PornPokerMan for you FTPer's. What do you do here against a nit?

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $50
UTG: $66.90
MP: $74.65
CO: $42.70
BTN: $52.45
SB: $41.35

CO posts $0.25
CO posts $0.50
Pre-Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, CO checks, BTN calls $0.50, SB folds, Hero checks

Flop: ($1.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, CO calls $2, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $18</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $51.95 and is All-In</font>,

[creamfillin]

This guy probably plays top two the same way. It's also possible he limped with 99 and doubtfull he has Q8. There's one hand you're worried about.. I go broke here EVERY time.

[Kik]

Since he limped from the button I put him on some connected hand like J10 910 which means 2 pairs on the flop.

He could also have a set but I think he would have raise with a pocket pair same with KQ.

Anyway your ahead in both scenarii.

[johnnybeef]

Go with it. I doubt he is limping q8, so the only hand you are worried about is kq, and while I can definitely see kq being a huge part of his range, jt, 9t, 99, tt, and even jj are as well.

[kaz2107]

sets, 2paaaarrrr, combo draws... nuff said

[Berky]

Get it in and pray board doesn't repeat.

[Lego05]

My 3bet on the flop is larger and I'm def. getting it in. He's got 2 pair a good amount...he may even have a set...KQ is really only hand we're fearing though I suppose Q8s is somewhat possible. Get it in though...and also hope board does not pair.

[nightwood]

Get it in.

[toddxlogan]

Spot isn't that great, but KQ is a pretty big hand to be button open-limping with, even only raising 8 percent. Seems like 9T/TJ/JQ more often, maybe even 99-JJif he is ubernit.

After the $7 are in the pot I don't think you have much of a choice. I think the following stove range isn't that far off - yeah T9 is in there, but I think that balances for the fact that he is open-limping with KQ not that often here.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

42,570 games 0.005 secs 8,514,000 games/sec

Board: 9h Ts Jc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.078% 45.74% 01.34% 19472 569.00 { 8s7c }
Hand 1: 52.922% 51.59% 01.34% 21960 569.00 { JJ-99, KQs, JTs, T9s, KQo, JTo, T9o }


---