#1
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SIA NFL Props
I am a donk and these NFL Props always stand out to me.
+1400 Any NFL Rusher over 250 yards. I know this has happened at least twice in the last 7 seasons (lewis and dillon, maybe more people). +400 Any kicker 60 yards or higher made field goal +1500 Any QB Pass for 500 yards in a game +1700 Any game end in a tie +3000 Any team come back from being down 30 points in a game. Anybody see any value in these? Max bet is $100 per. |
#2
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Re: SIA NFL Props
im a huge square but these look -ev to me
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#3
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Re: SIA NFL Props
I am now officially a donk as well. I would bet the ones in bold:
+1400 Any NFL Rusher over 250 yards. I know this has happened at least twice in the last 7 seasons (lewis and dillon, maybe more people). +400 Any kicker 60 yards or higher made field goal +1500 Any QB Pass for 500 yards in a game +1700 Any game end in a tie +3000 Any team come back from being down 30 points in a game. |
#4
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Re: SIA NFL Props
[ QUOTE ]
I am now officially a donk as well. I would bet the ones in bold: +1400 Any NFL Rusher over 250 yards. I know this has happened at least twice in the last 7 seasons (lewis and dillon, maybe more people). +400 Any kicker 60 yards or higher made field goal [/ QUOTE ] |
#5
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Re: SIA NFL Props
Either I'm getting better at this stuff or NajD is getting worse because I immediately liked the same 2 as Naj.
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#6
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Re: SIA NFL Props
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I am now officially a donk as well. I would bet the ones in bold: +1400 Any NFL Rusher over 250 yards. I know this has happened at least twice in the last 7 seasons (lewis and dillon, maybe more people). +400 Any kicker 60 yards or higher made field goal [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] really rough calc on the one we differed on, going only since 1990. 17 seasons * 256 games/season = 4352 games 3 ties P(tie in a given season) = 1 - (4349/4352)^256 = 16.1% makes true line about +521 +1700 is way off from that...what am i missing? |
#7
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Re: SIA NFL Props
[ QUOTE ]
Either I'm getting better at this stuff or NajD is getting worse because I immediately liked the same 2 as Naj. [/ QUOTE ] |
#8
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Re: SIA NFL Props
Well I bet on Rusher and FG before making this thread so clearly you all are getting worse.
Now I'm getting more interested in Tie. |
#9
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Re: SIA NFL Props
wikipedia has eight ties in the last 20 years in the NFL
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#10
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Re: SIA NFL Props
btw is anyone able to get $100 on these? i can only do $50. i am also getting only $88 on a lot of college totals.
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