to felt or not to felt

3 handed, 100b effective 25-50 blinds
btn is gift of gab
sb is "i cracked aces" who imo isnt v good. he raises a lot from LP but doesnt seem to resteal v much. fwiw i squeezed w. AQ a few hands ago and won. but only once, i'm not in agro tilt mode or anything so i don't know why he would want to flat KK/AA here hoping I squeeze if I haven't shown a high likelyhood of doing it.

btn raises to 175, sb flats, i reraise to 700, btn reraises to 1950 and sb shoves

I have QQ, what it do?

[luegofuego]

not to imo

does it change if you have AK? KK?

[Orlando Salazar]

Fold...at best you're up against AK/Q and a under pair. Why flip?

[Roman]

fold QQ and AK call KK AA

salazar,

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.188% 45.06% 00.13% 355747212 1038972.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 17.820% 17.69% 00.13% 139658328 1038972.00 { JJ }
Hand 2: 36.992% 36.86% 00.13% 291031848 1038972.00 { AKs, AKo }

thats why

fwiw, i have seen gab make 4 bets and fold to 5 bets in the past (stone bluff? or maybe a medium strength hand that figured he was dead vs 5 betting range)

[WHoSBeTTaTHaNuS]

sick spot

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 21.174% 06.43% 14.75% 528642 1212813.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 21.174% 06.43% 14.75% 528642 1212813.00 { AcKc }
Hand 2: 57.652% 57.51% 00.14% 4729884 11730.00 { QQ }


everyone who is saying fold - what range do you think sb is shoving here? i already stated i'm not as worried about gab since i have seen him 4bet light in the past and perhaps sb knows this as well.

is there any chance that someone who knew that would slowplay/stack off with a PP <QQ? i'm pretty sure AK is in his range, AQ is very unlikely but i wouldn't discount it given the fact that I labeled sb as "bad"

[Orlando Salazar]

[ QUOTE ]
salazar,

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.188% 45.06% 00.13% 355747212 1038972.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 17.820% 17.69% 00.13% 139658328 1038972.00 { JJ }
Hand 2: 36.992% 36.86% 00.13% 291031848 1038972.00 { AKs, AKo }

thats why

fwiw, i have seen gab make 4 bets and fold to 5 bets in the past (stone bluff? or maybe a medium strength hand that figured he was dead vs 5 betting range)

[/ QUOTE ]

Grim this was a best case scenario. But running other numbers, you're still right. Lets say 66% of the time you are 45% and getting 2:1 and 33% of the time, you face KK and Ax, you are 18% getting 2:1. Weighted avg equity = 36.3% so Call is +EV.

[cts]

fold everything but AA/KK