#1
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NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
Villain is 50/19/0.6 (0.5/0.8/4) over ~100 hands. I don't have any specific reads, and even though he's been pretty loose preflop, I haven't seen him do crazy things postflop. He seems bad though and probably overvalues his marginal hands.
I guess my bets are too small on flop/turn, but what range do you put him on with this river bet, and do you call ? (I have 94$ behind). Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter MP: $134.05 CO: $109.50 Hero (BTN): $133.05 SB: $102.30 BB: $153.95 UTG: $217.75 Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN) UTG calls $1, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5</font>, SB folds, BB calls $4, UTG calls $4 Flop: ($15.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players) BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $11</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $11 Turn: ($37.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $23</font>, UTG calls $23 River: ($83.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">UTG bets $178.75 and is All-In</font> |
#2
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
More on flop, more on turn. Set up for a river shove. You could easily be behind on the river, but I think I make a crying call.
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#3
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
Bet more on the flop/turn. I think you're [censored] on the river but I usually pay off.
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#4
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
please dont call this
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#5
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
The bet isn't much more than the pot for you, so you have top two and are getting nearly 2-1. Easy call, surely? I think you're ahead here more often than you're behind. It's probably not likely he calls the flop looking for the backdoor flush.
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#6
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
[ QUOTE ]
The bet isn't much more than the pot for you, so you have top two and are getting nearly 2-1. Easy call, surely? I think you're ahead here more often than you're behind. It's probably not likely he calls the flop looking for the backdoor flush. [/ QUOTE ] Nah, but 86/QTss/KQss/T9ss/98ss/87ss etc should be a big concern. I actually think the crying riv call might be bad. |
#7
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
I don't think I would ever call this vs a 0.6 AF player. His 4 river agg is troubling though. I think you lose this pot way way more than the 2-1 odds you are getting. He prob called w/ any piece on the flop, turned a flush draw and stuck around, or his OESD got there with 6-8. I am a nit, so I dump it.
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#8
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
[ QUOTE ]
please dont call this [/ QUOTE ] You don't trust the river AF 4? |
#9
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Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove
You want to look at his river aggression frequency, rather than aggression factor.
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