#1
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Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
Villain is 23/19/inf. through 150 hands. We've played a few small pots together, but no significant history. Fwiw, he bet the turn very quickly.
Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter UTG: $251.05 MP: $221.60 CO: $145 Hero (BTN): $228.60 SB: $341.65 BB: $861.60 Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN) UTG folds, MP calls $2, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $10</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $32</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $22 Flop: ($68) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">SB bets $45</font>, Hero calls $45 Turn: ($158) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">SB bets $152</font> |
#2
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
This is tough. His turn bet size is sorta confusing. Would he really pot it w/ a K? For me this looks like a FD and he's committing himself and trying to get the most FE he can by his bet size. If this wasn't my money I'd shove but playing the hand I'd fold.
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#3
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
In retrospect, I think I should be calling here. He doesn't have to be bluffing hardly at all to make this a call.
Board: Ks Td 6s Kh Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 25.957% 25.96% 00.00% 217 0.00 { JcJh } Hand 1: 74.043% 74.04% 00.00% 619 0.00 { TT, AKs, AsQs, AsJs, KQs, QJs, JsTs, Ts9s, AKo } |
#4
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
I got this:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 23,760 games 0.005 secs 4,752,000 games/sec Board: 6s Ks Td Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 19.383% 19.33% 00.06% 4592 13.50 { JcJh } Hand 1: 80.617% 80.56% 00.06% 19141 13.50 { AKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, KQs, QsJs, 9s8s, 8s7s, AKo, KdQc, KhQc, KhQd, KsQc, KsQd, KsQh } But I think it's just more than his range here. I think his bet sizing and timing can help determine if he ever has a K here. |
#5
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
not many people have the grapes to double barrel this turn in a 3b pot, though some people are flush draw bet monkeys. i would fold here, until i have a better read on the guy- he can't expect you to be folding that much on this turn.
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#6
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
why does neither range posted factor in QQ-AA?
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#7
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
[ QUOTE ]
why does neither range posted factor in QQ-AA? [/ QUOTE ] No one ever plays quads like this and I don't think he's going crazy w/ QQ here. And I don't think AA plays this was either, especially making such a large bet on the turn like that. |
#8
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] why does neither range posted factor in QQ-AA? [/ QUOTE ] No one ever plays quads like this and I don't think he's going crazy w/ QQ here. And I don't think AA plays this was either, especially making such a large bet on the turn like that. [/ QUOTE ] I agree wrt quads. |
#9
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
[ QUOTE ]
not many people have the grapes to double barrel this turn in a 3b pot, though some people are flush draw bet monkeys. i would fold here, until i have a better read on the guy- he can't expect you to be folding that much on this turn. [/ QUOTE ] I just don't think you see someone fastplay a King here all the time. |
#10
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Re: Easy Fold with Two Pair in 3bet Pot
This is a draw a lot. Axss is prob 1/3 his range. call and hope. |
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