#1
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Big flush w/Paired board
Live 3/6 Laggy (75% preflop raise & 20% raise/re-raise) table with an average of 5-6 seeing the flop
SB and BB are both new to the table and I've never seen them before. The have played 2-3 orbits and have played fairly tight (pucker factor 6 on a scale of 1-10 where 10 is water tight) for this table. They seem to know each other and have similar playing styles. Hero on the button with A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6 callers preflop Flop 6sb [4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] Checked to MP who bets HJ calls Hero calls 1 other caller Everone else folds Turn 5bb [4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] Early player bets MP raise HJ 3bet Hero Cap Early player folds MP calls HJ calls River 19bb [4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]] MP checks HJ checks Hero ? |
#2
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
Bet, and I don't think it's close.
Edit: Ok, it might be close, but I think you have to bet here. Their raise and re-raise seemed to scream "I , too, desired that third heart". I don't think you'll get check-raised, and I think you're ahead of their ranges. |
#3
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
1) Raise the flop. You missed some equity action there. And that would have given you more info on this river.
2) I see the river bet as a much closer decision. Betting might not even get you a call and if you are wrong, you'll have to call a c/r on a pot this big. Are you ahead of both players 1/2 - 2/3's of the time? H/U, I bet. Against two relative unknowns, I'll check this one. |
#4
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
call turn for bigger pot
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#5
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
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call turn for bigger pot [/ QUOTE ] lol, no. |
#6
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
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call turn for bigger pot [/ QUOTE ] wtf? |
#7
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
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[ QUOTE ] call turn for bigger pot [/ QUOTE ] wtf? [/ QUOTE ] seriously...i think this comment might derail the thread if we don't just forget about it. |
#8
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
I'm ok with the flop call, since there are 3 players left to act and only 2 have put in money yet. Were it the other way around (3 in and 2 left) I'd venture a raise. This line also leaves open the possibility of one of the early checkers unleashing a check/raise.
The turn raise is standard. Do you really think those players are checking boats? It's pretty hard for me to believe. Again, I'd bet the river. |
#9
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
Bet the river. It looks like HJ hit a smaller flush since he woke up on the turn. MP could have a boat, but once he checks the river the chance he doesn't goes up enough to extract some value.
(Quick math - If he always checks without the boat, and goes for a checkraise a full 50% of the time here that would mean there is a 75% chance he doesn't have it after he checks. The 50% is a total random guess, base your assumption on his prior behavior. With the 50% c/r guess, you will lose 2 bets 1 time and win 1 bet 3 times if he always calls) |
#10
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Re: Big flush w/Paired board
I honestly don't think you even get check/raised here by some of the boats. Like...is 44 going to check/raise you? He really might just call, either because he's afraid of kings full or because he wants one more bet from the player left to act.
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