#1
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bottom set, call-off?
This hand requires some background, villain is donk_on_tilt, a fairly loose, very aggressive opponent, we also talk on AIM I know that he doesn't limp 75 here, he could have suited big cards, AA (although probably not), top two pair is possible, or a set
is this a call or a fold? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) internettexasholdem.com CO ($1626.45) Button ($2085.72) SB ($9694.72) BB ($4900) UTG ($5321) UTG+1 ($4732) UTG+2 ($6964.38) MP1 ($5522.02) MP2 ($3575) Hero ($7541) Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $50. SB posts a blind of $25. UTG calls $50, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Hero calls $50, CO (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB (poster) completes, BB checks. Flop: ($250) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $225</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $675</font>, CO folds, SB folds, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $2000</font>, Hero calls $6816 (All-In), UTG calls $3271 (All-In). Turn: ($13012) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 2 all-in)</font> River: ($13012) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 2 all-in)</font> Final Pot: $13012 |
#2
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Re: bottom set, call-off?
not familiar w/villain, but 5 way he has to know missed overpair lrr is no good on this flop, so i'm ruling TT-AA out of his range.
if his range excludes T7/75 hands UTG his range will be 88,99,combo draw,A9s,Axs. he is not repopping with 77 or a bluff, and i would weigh his range more towards the 88/99 range. i am guessing that the size of his flop 3bet commits him (is he really folding with 40% of his stack in?) and this will be AhXh more often than a JTs/T9s/97s-type combo draw if he is willing to commit himself here (awkward, but possible) against an opponent in an unraised pot who obviously likes his hand. if he is skilled i don't see why he'd be 3 betting two overcard hearts without the Ah. i don't have pokerstove here but my math should be close enough: 88/99- 1 out JTs- ahead 60/40 A9s-ahead 70/30 97s-ahead 55/45 this is not including overpairs and made straights (you're behind 65/35), so with his range weighted towards set over set and with his committing, < pot-sized 3 bet, i think you are behind and he is welcoming a call or push. i'd fold - but in the moment it would be a difficult one. |
#3
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Re: bottom set, call-off?
he doesn't limp 75, but does he limp T9, 98, 87?
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#4
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Re: bottom set, call-off?
yes
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