NL10 AKs: push this draw?

DumbRock · #1 04-09-2006, 08:36 PM

No reads. Sat down 10 hands before and nothing intersting happened.

Do I push here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) converter

MP2 ($8.60)
MP3 ($3.70)
CO ($3.05)
Button ($15.10)
Hero ($10.10)
BB ($8.15)
UTG ($8.05)
UTG+1 ($10.20)
MP1 ($7.45)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.4, 1 fold, CO calls $0.40, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.35, 1 fold.

Flop: ($1.30) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets $1, MP2 calls $1, CO raises to $2.65, Hero ???

AllIn3High · #2 04-09-2006, 08:39 PM

PUSHPUSHPUSHPUSH

DumbRock · #3 04-09-2006, 08:56 PM

[ QUOTE ]
PUSHPUSHPUSHPUSH

[/ QUOTE ]

Without the shortie being all-in, I'd push. But with shorty in, is MP2 getting too much odds to call here? This reduces significantly my FE. Even when I have monster draws, I like to have FE.

Dan Bitel · #4 04-09-2006, 09:00 PM

This draw is huge,

I don;t care how many players its vs or how short they are.....POOOSH

AllIn3High · #5 04-09-2006, 09:01 PM

I like FE. I also like a gutshotroyalflushdraw especially in SPADES!!!

Seriously. This is one of the best possible flops for you. You're gonna have a hard time getting payed off if you hit (and he'll have a hard time calling your all-in still)

Even if we give him a fairly narrow range you're in excellent shape (especially considering the dead money in the pot)

Board: Ts Js 3d
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 48.9009 % 48.64% 00.26% { AsKs }
Hand 2: 51.0991 % 50.84% 00.26% { TT+, 33, AJs, KJs, JTs, AJo, KJo }

DumbRock · #6 04-09-2006, 09:09 PM

OK, I am glad everybody agrees with me. I pushed!! MP2 called. Shortie had AA, and MP2 had KQo and rivered a 9! [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]