NL20 - Overpair on paired board

countzerO · #1 10-26-2007, 11:02 AM

Villain is 22-13 over 100 or so hands.

Overpair + SPR of 10 makes me kinda nervous :-)

Titan No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10/$0.20BB (Titan HH Converter by Kreatief)

Dealt to hero: K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

UTG ($23.36)
Hero ($24.69)
MP1 ($4.52)
MP2 ($19.49)
MP3 ($19.70)
CO ($12.06)
Button ($27.39)
SB ($20.29)
BB ($26.61)

1 folds, Hero raises to 0.8, 1 folds, MP2 calls $0.80, 5 folds,

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ( $1.9 )
UTG+2 bets $1.50, MP2 raises to 4.5, Hero calls $3.00,

Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ( $10.9 )
Hero checks, MP2 checks,

River: 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ( $10.9 )
Hero?

Final Pot: $10.36

My plan: c/c the river. Am I missing value here?

MrBump · #2 10-26-2007, 11:28 AM

Tough spot and not easy without a read on villain of what his raise means on the flop. Is he capable of raising what he considers to be a c-bet to try and get you off AK ? How does he play his flush draws ?

AJ is a possibility and so is a set of 3's or 8's. I think he's reraising JJ+ preflop.

I can't see a worse hand calling a river bet, so I'd just check and call a reasonable bet.

AceHigh · #3 10-26-2007, 01:09 PM

I would make a feeler bet on the river, I think he likely has a pocket pair and might call a smallish river bet.

countzerO · #4 10-26-2007, 05:32 PM

Yeah, this could be a way to extract some extra value from a PP getting fancy on the flop.

Brimstead · #5 10-26-2007, 07:16 PM

its also a way to make yourself vulnerable to a river bluff raise from a missed FD.... i check-call