TPTK facing CRAI in 3bet pot, drawy board

[gergong2]

I have no info on villain, this is my 10th hand at the table, nothing interesting happened in the previus hands.

GAME #695618206: Texas Hold'em NL $0.25/$0.50 2007-10-22 15:33:45
Table Bearwood
Seat 1: BB ($46.35 in chips)
Seat 3: Hero ($49.25 in chips)
Seat 5: UTG+1 ($67.10 in chips)
Seat 6: CO ($36.96 in chips)
Seat 8: Button ($137.78 in chips) DEALER
Seat 10: SB ($8.00 in chips)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [ [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K]
Hero: Raise $2.00
UTG+1: Fold
CO: Raise $6.00
Button: Fold
SB: Fold
BB: Call $5.50
Hero: Call $4.00
*** FLOP *** [ [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]10](pot 18.25$)
BB: Check
Hero: Bet $14.00
CO: Fold
BB: Allin $40.35

Thoughts?

[Tanky]

I think this is close but a fold, you neek ~28% pot equity and i doubt you have this due to the 3 bet. I think a realistic range without reads preflop is 99+ AK AQ, when he shoves more like 99 TT KK AA AK or AcQ - i think you see AcA KK a lot and AcKh AcKs are frerolling to the flush. Put the range into pokerstove and see what it says. I say fold.

[gergong2]

BB, who shoved, was not the preflop reraiser. I don"t think ha has AA,KK here. I think 99, 1010, AK A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]x is more likely.

[Tanky]

[ QUOTE ]
BB, who shoved, was not the preflop reraiser. I don"t think ha has AA,KK here. I think 99, 1010, AK A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]x is more likely.

[/ QUOTE ]

Lol, very good point, i think he will have a similar range minus AA KK basically.

Maybe AcK, AcQ, 99 TT QcQ