HUSNG: TPGK paired board Hero ???

[asg]

Seat 1: Villain (1,110)
Seat 2: Hero (1,890)
Hero posts the small blind of 10
Villain posts the big blind of 20
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Kh Qd]
Hero raises to 60
Villain calls 40
*** FLOP *** [7d Kc Js]
Villain bets 20
Hero raises to 100
Villain calls 80
*** TURN *** [7d Kc Js] [7s]
Villain checks
Hero bets 200
Villain calls 200
*** RIVER *** [7d Kc Js 7s] [4d]
Villain checks
Hero ???

[Nichomacheo]

Villain might have a seven, but in my experience, bad players who lead the flop with a weak hand don't check the river after making a big hand.

I think you can make a bet of 280 or 320 or something like that and you'll get called by a weaker king often enough for it to be profitable even when he sometimes c/r ai with a 7.

[Somekid]

I think you should definitely bet this. It seems like he would be very unlikely to have a 7 here...wouldn't he have c/r the turn if he'd hit another 7?

[Nichomacheo]

he wouldn't c/r the turn because he lead on the flop.

[ghettointlectual]

I think a 1/2 pot value bet is a good choice here. Villains range includes weaker kings, weaker jacks, and if he is superbad Q9 QT type of hands. He fold the draws but I think you will get called by weaker hands most of the time and once in while he will check raise you and you know that he has a 7 so you can fold.