400nl TT on Q high board

[nuggetz87]

villain is heybude. pretty tight preflop stats like 17/14, i know he's decent at handreading and isn't scared because he played a lot of HU back in august when i played it.

he basically looks like QJ on the river, but there were tons of draws that missed and i'm not sure he'd bet that much with something like KQ on the river, and also not sure he just flats with it preflop.

Poker Stars, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

MP: $495.30
CO: $975.50
BTN: $461.90
SB: $367.10
BB: $400
Hero (UTG): $424

Pre-Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $14</font>, MP calls $14, 4 folds

Flop: ($34) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $24</font>, MP calls $24

Turn: ($82) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets $72</font>, Hero calls $72

River: ($226) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets $199</font>, Hero calls $199

[AAismyfriend]

He's definitely bluffing here enough to call this, and QJ is the only hand that makes a ton of sense here, and I don't think he'd bet so big on the turn with a hand like that. A lot of players will never slowplay a set on this flop, but if you think he would here, than this is obviously closer.

[GootRuck]

Eh, I'm mixed.

Villian does play a missed draw like this, but he plays a set/2 pair like this too.

[Suwalski]

I usually b/f turn, but now i dono.

[AAismyfriend]

If this wasn't the perfect flop to raise with a set I would fold this, but he has a float/missed draw here more often than a big hand IMO.

[jlocdog]

nuggetz,

Do you think betting KQ on river is too thin?

I don't.

[markuisis]

[ QUOTE ]
If this wasn't the perfect flop to raise with a set I would fold this, but he has a float/missed draw here more often than a big hand IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]

[GootRuck]

[ QUOTE ]
nuggetz,

Do you think betting KQ on river is too thin?

I don't.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, just the amount of the bet screams big hand or bluff though, not one pair.

[Redgrape]

I think your assesment of the hand is very good and I'd need a better read to fold so I'd definetely call.

btw im heybude, and given what i know about my own game I'd fold.

[jlocdog]

Gootruck- what is an appropriate bet size for KQ here please?