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  #1  
Old 10-07-2007, 01:13 PM
Logun Logun is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 559
Default 25nl - Flopped set get pushed on scary turn

Villain is 30.5/18/1.5 over 128

Snap call?


Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (SB): $24.75
BB: $23.30
UTG: $44.55
CO: $65.40
BTN: $25.60

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, BB calls $0.75

Flop: ($2) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1</font>, BB calls $1

Turn: ($4) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $3</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $21.30 and is All-In</font>, Hero.....??????
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  #2  
Old 10-07-2007, 01:24 PM
YanP YanP is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 160
Default Re: 25nl - Flopped set get pushed on scary turn

bet more on the flop, especially with drawy board.

turn decision is made difficult by the fact the pot is very small. His massiv overbet represents strenght. really hard to put him on a hand you beat, except two pair type hands or even lower sets. a case can be made for folding.

having said all that, i'm never folding Top Set Ever for 100BB without the best read ever (like my mum telling me he's got it) but even when he's got a made hand you're still 20% to fill up, so i snap call

The more i think about it, his range is made up of a lot more 2 pair lower set type hands and you're definitely at least 40% to win this vs his range (which is what you need)
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