50nl: Flopped set of jacks on obvious board

Asheh · #1 09-25-2007, 04:09 AM

Hi guys some advice on this hand, i actually think its pretty standard but I wanted to see what people think he has and wether they would just call the river or not.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1515457

My bet on the river is a very small value because I put him on a busted draw,

notes: he is 22/10

anyone got any comments?

DaycareInferno · #2 09-25-2007, 04:22 AM

i would bet more on the flop and turn. you're going to get action from so much stuff, and the board is dangerous. on the river, t here's a lot more in play than just busted draws, so i'd prefer a normal bet. in a situation where a busted draw was a lot more likely, i'd always like checking more than making a small bet with a hand that good. the only time i'd use the small bet is if i didn't feel i could snap off a bluff in that situation and would have to fold my hand.

Asheh · #3 09-25-2007, 04:27 AM

Based on his stats (just posted them in original post) what do you put him on? I was terribly sure he had two pair given the action. Then i figured busted draw on the river.

Do you get it AI on river?

DaycareInferno · #4 09-25-2007, 04:31 AM

eh, i dunno. river is tough, because his raise doesn't make much sense. its not like that was a real safe board to slowplay on. i probably do move in, but i'm kinda worried.

DaycareInferno · #5 09-25-2007, 04:42 AM

actually, i'd shove every single time. sorry, was playing and posting at the same time. 22/10 isn't going to have KT/AA/QQ here very often. QQ is possible, but would still be kind of an anomoly given the action.

Agent57 · #6 09-25-2007, 05:09 AM

I think the river is just a call. he is on the tightish side and I just dont see what hand he will be calling the push with that we can beat after he hass already check raised, other than possible AQ, AJ hands but would they not have tried to protect the hand earliier? I think it is pretty close either way but i would just call.