NL TRN - 110+5 - Air vs. LAP checked through raised pot

[xSCWx]

Villain is really strange. He value bet me with a set on our first hand we played, overbet shoved for like 15x a pot a hand later when I made a small bet, but has consistently shown that he goes into check/call mode with anything below top pair.

I've seen him min bet into me once or twice, I'm assuming this means top pair. His preflop min raise can be any 2 but usually he just limps. He is a really weak player.

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Full Tilt Poker Game #3619313523: $110 + $5 Heads Up Sit & Go (27617946), Table 1 - 40/80 - No Limit Hold'em - 10:47:03 ET - 2007/09/20

Seat 1: xSCWx (2,305)
Seat 2: PHATTYFOODS7 (695)

PHATTYFOODS7 posts the small blind of 40
xSCWx posts the big blind of 80
The button is in seat #2

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to xSCWx [T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]
PHATTYFOODS7 raises to 160
xSCWx calls 80

*** FLOP *** [7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]
xSCWx checks
PHATTYFOODS7 checks

*** TURN *** [7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]] [5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]]
xSCWx checks
PHATTYFOODS7 checks

*** RIVER *** [7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] [5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]]
xSCWx bets 2,145, and is all in

[jay_shark]

Nothing wrong with checking the river if you think you will be called often had you made a bet .

Against a player who is capable of folding , a small river bet is not a bad idea .

[xSCWx]

I feel the need to add that we checked through this pretty quickly so it is fairly obvious that we both have [censored]. I wouldn't attempt this unless I found that he was weak, but am I giving too little credit?

PS: He is a break-even player at ~$25 stakes over an 80ish game sample.

[jay_shark]

If he's trapping you more than 12.9% of the time , then your shove becomes negative EV .

2145:320 ~ 6.7:1

1/(7.7)~12.9%

[xSCWx]

[ QUOTE ]
If he's trapping you more than 12.9% of the time , then your shove becomes negative EV .

2145:320 ~ 6.7:1

1/(7.7)~12.9%

[/ QUOTE ]

He only has 535 in chips at the river. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[jay_shark]

Ooops :P