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Old 09-12-2007, 10:39 PM
MyPTBB100isPOOP MyPTBB100isPOOP is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 193
Default an equity math question (hh included)

This hand history is only to illustrate my question, not interested in analysis.
I belive this is a simple question, so hopefully somone has a simple answer for real time thinking.

POKERSTARS GAME #11600406843: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($1/$2) - 2007/08/20 - 20:56:56 (ET)
Table 'Renauxa' 6-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: m0nger ($200 in chips)
Seat 2: hero ($210 in chips)
Seat 3: Ldonnie ($200 in chips)
Seat 4: dandickau ($228 in chips)
Seat 5: FastEddie267 ($469.25 in chips)
Seat 6: umpa21 ($355.40 in chips)
FastEddie267: posts small blind $1
umpa21: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to hero [4d 4h]
m0nger: folds
hero: raises $6 to $8
Ldonnie: folds
dandickau: folds
FastEddie267: raises $18 to $26 umpa21: folds
hero: calls $18
*** FLOP *** [6d 5s Ts]
FastEddie267: bets $38

Assume that his range pf is: TT+ AKs AKo and AQs
assume he bets entire range on flop. 2/1 dog vs that range
now if he only bets TT+ and AKs/AQs with the flush draw. 6.5/1 vs that range.
so now if we assume we are either a 2/1 dog or a 6.5/1 dog how do we combine those stats, and average them appropriatley based on the percentage of time he will mathematically have the flush draw hands............
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Old 09-12-2007, 10:57 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
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Posts: 2,277
Default Re: an equity math question (hh included)

He has 4*6 + 3 =27 possible pairs which may include the set of tens otf .

There are an additional 2 hands ,AK of spades and AQ of spades, out of a total of 4*4+ 4 = 20 non-paired hands .

27+20 = 47 total hands and 2 out of 47 , he has a flush draw .

Think you can do the rest now ?
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