AA reraised in ragged flop

Shes92 · #1 09-07-2007, 08:22 PM

I have no real reads on the villain but his stats are 28/20/7 after only 150 hands. I havent seen him get out of line at any stage. Also he has folded to a flop bet 94% of time. I thought this was a push cos my preflop reraise was quite large so there was less of a chance that a small pocket pair would call. But imo the inclusion of the short stack improves his odds with a small pp and should also increase the likelyhood of a reraise preflop with QQ, KK or maybe JJ and AK. I thought his most likely holdings were 88,99,TT. What do you guys think??? If Im raising, am I pushing??

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $392.45
UTG+1: $83.70
CO: $84.35
Button: $453.35
Hero: $485.35
BB: $96.30

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
3 folds, Button raises to $7, Hero raises to $30, BB calls, Button calls.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($90, 3 players)
Hero bets $56, BB folds, Button raises to $135, Hero ????

loosbastard · #2 09-07-2007, 08:29 PM

Pretty sick spot. Given how deep y'all are, this could easily be a set even if the BB hadn't come along. That being said, I'm probably still getting the money in...it's just a question of where. I think I wait and get it in on the turn.

Nick Royale · #3 09-07-2007, 08:31 PM

Tough spot. But I'm getting it in. Calling the flop and crai turn is best imo. Maybe maybe he's raising the flop light because your bet looks a little bit small (it's a good bet though) and calling is probably the best way to extract from worse PPs, I think his range is pretty much KK/QQ/set or air. Air being pretty unlikely.

nazahl · #4 09-07-2007, 08:33 PM

wow, sick spot.

Im really not sure, u do got AA though.

RiverFenix · #5 09-07-2007, 08:36 PM

Ohhhh just noticed the overcall pf. Who is villain? Vs some regs I get it in here on the turn no questions asked. I'd also bet 3/4th+ pot on this flop as I'm willing to play for stacks on this board.

Shes92 · #6 09-07-2007, 08:41 PM

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I think his range is pretty much KK/QQ/set or air. Air being pretty unlikely.

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I think KK is unlikely as he didnt reraise preflop but obv could still be the case as maybe he didnt want to commit with such deep stacks. I thought set and 88 - QQ were the most likely.

Oh .. I did think my flop bet was too small which may have looked weak. I shouldve bet $70ish

Shes92 · #7 09-07-2007, 08:42 PM

Villain is RiverUtd

Nick Royale · #8 09-07-2007, 08:57 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think his range is pretty much KK/QQ/set or air. Air being pretty unlikely.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think KK is unlikely as he didnt reraise preflop but obv could still be the case as maybe he didnt want to commit with such deep stacks. I thought set and 88 - QQ were the most likely.

Oh .. I did think my flop bet was too small which may have looked weak. I shouldve bet $70ish

[/ QUOTE ]
Imo 60ish is fine. I can't see why he would raise TT-88.

loosbastard · #9 09-07-2007, 08:58 PM

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I did think my flop bet was too small which may have looked weak

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It's a little bit on the small side, but that's fine on this board.

MYNAMEIZGREG · #10 09-07-2007, 09:26 PM

I have a couple different ideas for this hand:

1) He folds the flop so often that we will miss value with our hands a lot of the times becuase he is aggro but he folds to our bets.
2) BB only has 60 left
---->

Go for a big c/r on the flop (probably all in).

It's a lot more likely that BB will shove if you check since he only has 2/3 PSB left. IMO, he will call off his stack with pretty much the same frequency that he goes all in with (if anything, his shoving range is wider than his calling range). Additionally, the big villain here has a bigtime AF, but he folds to flop aggression a lot. So, let's give everyone else a chance to trap some money for us, and then come back with a huge c/r. We could get called by worse, we will lose to better anyway, and this way at least we give the 2 other guys a chance to take a stab at the pot.