Survival Pool Picks

[queenhigh]

Hi everyone,

Is there anywhere you can go for help making picks in a survival pool? Something along the lines of: Given X players in a pool, the 07 schedule, and Vegas's current NFL futures, the optimum picks in a survivor pool are:

Thanks,

Will

[youtalkfunny]

The optimum pick is the biggest available favorite on the board at all times.

No matter how many players, no matter what the 07 schedule.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
The optimum pick is the biggest available favorite on the board at all times.

No matter how many players, no matter what the 07 schedule.

[/ QUOTE ]

This isn't true at all. If there is a 100 man league and 99 are following your advice, you should take any other team regardless of whether they at a 20-1 dog or not.

Separation while giving up minimal expectation is also v v important in pools or survivor league.

In reality you'll likely hear about who most people are picking and instead pick a team that might have a lower chance to win, but who very few other people are on. A 60% chance that 5 out of a 100 are on is much better than a 63% chance that 45 people are on.