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#1
08-31-2007, 01:35 PM
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Implied Odds + Set versus Flush...is calling justified?
Card House in the Ghetto. 2/3 ($300 max buy-in) (I just arrived at the main table). 9-Handed
Me-UTG ($850) UTG+2 -Clueless Clalling Station paying off the entire table for hours #1 (~$160) MP- Clueless Calling Station paying off the entire table for hours #2 (~120) CO- Seems solid, playing tighter than times in the past (~$400) Preflop- Pocket 88 Limp 3 Callers plus the blinds (6-Handed) Pot is $15) Flop Comes 8d 4d 3d I fire $15 Calling Sation #1 Calls Calling Sation #2 Calls CO Min Raises to $30, SB-fold, BB-fold. -I am sure CO has the flush at this point and believe he is trying to pot build. Is chasing the boat justified knowing that the calling stations will pay off, and believing that the CO will have a small bet on the turn not to scare them away? Pokerstove has me as a 34% dog. |
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#2
08-31-2007, 01:40 PM
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Re: Implied Odds + Set versus Flush...is calling justified?
I think CO could be pot building because he has Ad 8x, I think calling could be justified if youre positive the donks will call and not raise.
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#3
08-31-2007, 01:43 PM
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Re: Implied Odds + Set versus Flush...is calling justified?
[ QUOTE ]
if youre positive the donks will call and not raise. [/ QUOTE ] -not positive, but pretty sure. they haven't raised the whole time they were there (I was with them at the other table) |
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#4
08-31-2007, 01:44 PM
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Re: Implied Odds + Set versus Flush...is calling justified?
You already posted this in a strat forum. |
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#6
08-31-2007, 02:03 PM
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Re: Implied Odds + Set versus Flush...is calling justified?
You are looking at calling $15 into $90, or 6-1, when you are going to suckout considerably more often than that. Add in the chances that he doesn't have a flush already, and your implied odds, and this is a call.
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#7
08-31-2007, 02:15 PM
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Re: Implied Odds + Set versus Flush...is calling justified?
[ QUOTE ]
You are looking at calling $15 into $90, or 6-1, when you are going to suckout considerably more often than that. Add in the chances that he doesn't have a flush already, and your implied odds, and this is a call. [/ QUOTE ] Well put, i call and reevaluate the turn. A paired board diamond is your best friend. |
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