#1
|
|||
|
|||
Roulette Edge Question
Can someone please show me how to compute our expected loss if me and a friend both go play roulette and bet $100 on opposite colors 100 times?
|
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
There is a 2/38 or 1/19 chance that you bust on any given spin.
Your expected loss per spin is 200(1/19). You can just multiply by the number of spins, since each is independent. Then your expected loss after 100 spins is 200*100/19. Another way to find this is to look at the event that a zero occurs as a geometric distribution. Since the probability is 1/19, the mean is 19 spins. The expected number of zeros in 100 spins is then 100/19. Multipling this by your bet size ($200) gives you your expected loss. |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
Money Laundering?
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
The EV of any bet in American Roulette is -5.26% of the bet.
Thats the house edge per bet. EV of $100 bet on the Red or Black: ($100*18/38)+(-$100*20/38)= -$5.26 On average, you and your friend together are expected to lose $10.52 per round, $5.26 each. So the answer to your question is $1052. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
No, trying to pimp some comps, for weekend rooms and such.
|
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
[ QUOTE ]
No, trying to pimp some comps, for weekend rooms and such. [/ QUOTE ] Depending on how much effort you want to put into it, the Vegas games with the lowest house edge are typically Black Jack or Craps. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
why don't you use a strategy in which your odds of winning are greater than 0%
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
Playing the don'ts and laying max odds on craps is a pretty good way to get comped IF they give you credit for your odds bets (which are made at true odds). On a 3,4,5 table this amounts to putting down 30 bucks at even odds while only making 5 dollar original bets. Multiply by 10 if you want to go big.
Just make sure you're getting comped for your odds bets. If you are, these bets are actually +EV, as you earn comps but they are "fair" bets. |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
[ QUOTE ]
why don't you use a strategy in which your odds of winning are greater than 0% [/ QUOTE ] I don't think any such strategy exists for roulette. |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Roulette Edge Question
[ QUOTE ]
Playing the don'ts and laying max odds on craps is a pretty good way to get comped IF they give you credit for your odds bets (which are made at true odds). On a 3,4,5 table this amounts to putting down 30 bucks at even odds while only making 5 dollar original bets. Multiply by 10 if you want to go big. Just make sure you're getting comped for your odds bets. If you are, these bets are actually +EV, as you earn comps but they are "fair" bets. [/ QUOTE ] AFAIK, no casino in AC comps for odds bets, since the house has no edge. |
|
|