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#1
08-12-2007, 03:02 PM
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FT200: Bottom set, reraised pot, 200bb deep
I have villain at 23/21/3.5. Haven't really noticed him, but this table has been very aggressive. Lots of 3 betting.
I'm running at 17/15/3. Went to showdown once with the goods and doubled up. My image is good (although I am historically laggy). $1/$2 No Limit Holdem 6 players Stacks: UTG (<font color="#0000cc">$411.80</font>) UTG+1 (<font color="#0000cc">$200.00</font>) Hero (<font color="#0000cc">$457.25</font>) BTN (<font color="#0000cc">$237.00</font>) SB (<font color="#0000cc">$211.00</font>) BB (<font color="#0000cc">$200.00</font>) Pre-flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is CO T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $7</font>, <font color="#777777">1 fold</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $24</font>, <font color="#777777">3 folds</font>, UTG calls $17 Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($51, 2 players) UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $38</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $126</font>, <font color="#0000cc">Hero?</font> Would checking this flop behind for pot control (we're 200bb deep) with the intention of calling most turns and then re-evaluating on the river be better? As played? I can't even see him doing this with KK. That's a fugly board vs. my range. Is a fold prudent? Here's my equity vs. what I percieve as his non-bluffing range (including AA/KK. Although if he was going to go for a check/raise on the flop this would be the flop texture that would slow him down with those hands): Board: Qs Jc Tc Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 43.075% 42.09% 00.98% 14585 340.50 { ThTs } Hand 1: 56.925% 55.94% 00.98% 19384 340.50 { JJ+, AKs, AcQc, AKo } 
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#3
08-12-2007, 03:05 PM
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Re: FT200: Bottom set, reraised pot, 200bb deep
shove
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#6
08-12-2007, 03:08 PM
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Re: FT200: Bottom set, reraised pot, 200bb deep
What is your plan for the turn if you just call then?
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#7
08-12-2007, 03:11 PM
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Re: FT200: Bottom set, reraised pot, 200bb deep
Shove? Surely this guy would fold KK/AA most of the time. It's unlikely he called with QJs preflop. I'm don't think there's much that we beat that he'd shove.
I think the range west_eh gave is pretty legit (and what calls a shove is even tighter), and this would be an awful spot to bluff since so many hands hero can have hit this flop so hard. I don't know what to do. Hands like this are why I play 100NL and not 200NL. I'd like input from others.
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#10
08-12-2007, 03:16 PM
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Re: FT200: Bottom set, reraised pot, 200bb deep
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] What is your plan for the turn if you just call then? [/ QUOTE ] So you're shoving so you don't have to think any more about this tough situation? [/ QUOTE ] wow, shutup. at least with a shove we have some fold equity.
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