Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Tournament Poker > STT Strategy
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-04-2007, 05:42 AM
samatron samatron is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 2
Default party rigging in S+G\'s

I've long been an advocate of ignoring people who say a site is rigged.
However, I have been running a spreadsheet of my bankroll for about two years now. While the trend line for my pokerstars account is a very smooth line (the occasional bad period counterbalanced by a good period), the Party trend is excessively weird. The trend basically says when I am playing regularly, I am losing a lot (and to outrageous draws according to my notes!), yet when I cool it and play say a couple games a week, I get ridiculously improbable winning sprees. The variations seem to be too huge for a standard deviation.
It's like when I don't play much, Party wants to encourage me to play by giving me great cards. One S+G I played the other day, I got the following cards across the first five levels:
KK AK AA KK AA
That's across about 50 hands. Statistically, KK/AA comes up about 1 in a hundred hands. Highly improbably that I holed them four times in one game!
I don't want to ask it, but is party rigged to encourage infrequent players and take advantage of frequent players?
  #2  
Old 08-04-2007, 05:44 AM
sence25 sence25 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Party
Posts: 1,459
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

i'm not paranoid or something, and i have played like 2k sngs there.
i would be very surprised if someone could prove their randomnumbers-generator works correctly.
but oh well.
  #3  
Old 08-04-2007, 06:36 AM
donkraft donkraft is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: donkraftpoker.com
Posts: 316
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

I'll bite...

What would party gain from encouraging you to generate LESS rake by playing fewer games?
  #4  
Old 08-04-2007, 06:43 AM
Luisgallo Luisgallo is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: in route to supernova...
Posts: 1,307
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

can we lock this thread please?
  #5  
Old 08-04-2007, 07:50 AM
IFoldPktOnes IFoldPktOnes is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: $16s
Posts: 262
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

Take the number of total hands you have ever played and divide by 12400, thats the expected value of the number of times the event you described will occur.

So if you play 75 hands per sit n' go, you would expect you would have to play around 165 games for this to occur.

OMG probability is rigged!
  #6  
Old 08-04-2007, 08:03 AM
MightyA6 MightyA6 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 120
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

One game from time to time = You play your best!
Many games at once to win $$$ = You do not play your best, even if you think so.

ldo;
  #7  
Old 08-04-2007, 08:16 AM
sence25 sence25 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Party
Posts: 1,459
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

i don't think one should believe everything he is told.
there is no way yet to generate real randomness by computers.
and party has chosen one of the worse simulations of this.
but oh well. lock it.
  #8  
Old 08-04-2007, 09:20 AM
Daleroxxu Daleroxxu is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: in your STTs spitecalling you!
Posts: 686
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

Party is rigged, i thought this was well understood by now?

/thread
  #9  
Old 08-04-2007, 12:45 PM
DevinLake DevinLake is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Posts: 6,022
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

Everyday I wake up and pray that today is not the day that party decides it is not rigged in my favour.
  #10  
Old 08-04-2007, 12:49 PM
donkraft donkraft is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: donkraftpoker.com
Posts: 316
Default Re: party rigging in S+G\'s

[ QUOTE ]
Everyday I wake up and pray that today is not the day that party decides it is not rigged in my favour.

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

Me2
Closed Thread


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:24 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.