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Quick math checkup: Ranges
Hi, I’m trying to master the math behind calculating hand ranges. To practice, I came up with this one. Is it any good?
What is the probability of a player having made a straight on a QcJdTh flop given that his preflop range is 22+,ATs+,KQs,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,ATo+, KQo,QJo,JTo? AK(s) and 98s make a straight, a total of 12+4+4=20 combinations. The preflop range has 13x6(pocketpairs)+6x12(off-suit hands)+12x4(suited hands)=198 combinations. To get the denominator we have to subtract the hands cancelled out by the flop. These are: 1 pair hands: AxTh,AxJd,AxQc,KxQc,T9h9 ,which make (4x7+1)=29 combinations. 2 pair hands:QxJc,Qd,JxTh,JdTx, which make(2x12)=24 combinations. Sets: QxQc,JxJd,TxTh, which make (3x3)=9 combinations. So the denominator is 198-29-24-9=136. Divide de straight possibilities by the denominator: 20/136=0.147 or 14.7% Another question I have is if perhaps anyone knows of a program better then pokerstove so it allows you to make calculations like this one? Thanks! |
#2
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Re: Quick math checkup: Ranges
Denominator :
1) pocket pairs :10*6 + 3*3 2) a10s+ : 3+3+3+4 3) kqs : 3 4) qjs : 2 5) j10s : 2 6)109s : 3 7) 98 s :4 8) 87s :4 9) 76s:4 10) 65s:4 11) 54s:4 12) a10o+: (12-3) + 9+9 +12 13) kqo : 9 14) qjo : 9-2 15) j10o : 9-2 Add everything up and you get your denominator which is 174 . The answer is 20/174 = 11.49% |
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