River decision

[Rolen]

Villain is 72/18/1.7 over 41 hands, I haven't caught him bluffing or making light calldowns.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($98.50)
SB ($104.55)
BB ($219.60)
UTG ($73)
MP ($221.05)
CO ($193.30)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4.5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $3.50, UTG calls $3.50.

Flop: ($14) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($14) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($14) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $14</font>, UTG folds

Hero? Comments on all streets please. UTG is 25/8/1.1 if that matters.

[Vavavoom]

Raise to 36...

I think you get called by all manner of 2 pairs...unless u think BB has a set and missed c/raise twice...besides you said 72/18.... I raise this all day on river....

[sh58]

you have done a good job of keeping the pot small. i think of these situations like this. i would spend $14 here on the flop as a bluff, so instead i decide to play it slow and spend my $14 on the river as a value call, as i think you have reasonable equity v his range.

i see these situations as freerolls

(is my logic spewy?)

edit:

i think your hand is strong enough to raise here. the straight is not so likely